PBI
Pitney Bowes Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) closed at $16.85 as of 2026-09-18, trading 121.6% above its 200-week moving average of $7.60. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 126.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2785 weeks of data, PBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 66 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PBI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.7%.
With a market cap of $2.3 billion, PBI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.1%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -2.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PBI would have grown to $333, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. PBI has returned 3.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 50.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PBI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PBI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying PBI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.1% after 12 months (median -20.0%), compared to +1.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.7% vs +15.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PBI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PBI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PBI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $14.07 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $17.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $21.90 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $30.34 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $49.40 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $0.33 | $0.43 | +32.3% |
| 2026-05-05 | $0.47 | $0.47 | +0.7% |
| 2026-02-17 | $0.39 | $0.45 | +16.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | $0.32 | $0.31 | -1.6% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PBI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PBI has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +1.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Jan 1975 | 88 | 56.3% | -23.5% | +15772.8% |
| Aug 1981 | Mar 1982 | 31 | 14.4% | +50.2% | +5744.1% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 24 | 32.0% | +58.5% | +620.3% |
| Oct 1994 | Feb 1995 | 18 | 9.8% | +31.1% | +289.1% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 0.9% | -26.3% | +36.0% |
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2000 | 1 | 0.1% | -19.4% | +30.0% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2003 | 163 | 39.9% | -16.0% | +33.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2011 | 180 | 50.9% | -34.0% | +14.2% |
| Apr 2011 | May 2011 | 2 | 1.7% | -24.7% | +49.0% |
| May 2011 | Jul 2013 | 114 | 40.0% | -36.3% | +51.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 0.7% | -6.0% | +50.1% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 4 | 9.6% | -20.4% | +60.0% |
| May 2016 | Jan 2021 | 244 | 79.0% | -11.5% | +49.2% |
| Jan 2022 | Apr 2024 | 119 | 54.3% | -21.8% | +253.0% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 1.0% | +126.2% | +286.4% |
| Average | 66 | — | +1.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI below its 200-week moving average?
No. Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) is currently 121.6% above its 200-week moving average of $7.60. It would need to fall to $7.60 to cross below the line.
What is PBI's 200-week moving average price?
Pitney Bowes Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $7.60 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PBI drops below its 200-week moving average?
PBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 66 weeks on average.
Is PBI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PBI as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 10.1%. Price-to-book is -2.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PBI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in PBI would have grown to $333, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 3.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PBI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PBI pay a dividend?
Yes. Pitney Bowes Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 237.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18