PBI
Pitney Bowes Inc. Industrials - Integrated Freight & Logistics Investor Relations →
Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) closed at $17.53 as of 2026-07-31, trading 145.4% above its 200-week moving average of $7.14. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 153.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.19 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2778 weeks of data, PBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 66 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PBI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.7%.
With a market cap of $2.4 billion, PBI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.8%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -3.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PBI would have grown to $345, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. PBI has returned 3.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 50.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PBI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PBI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying PBI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.1% after 12 months (median -20.0%), compared to +1.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 25% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.7% vs +15.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PBI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PBI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PBI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.53 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $10.99 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $12.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $15.85 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $20.34 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PBI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PBI has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +1.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Jan 1975 | 88 | 56.3% | -23.5% | +16318.6% |
| Aug 1981 | Mar 1982 | 31 | 14.4% | +50.2% | +5945.1% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 24 | 32.0% | +58.5% | +645.1% |
| Oct 1994 | Feb 1995 | 18 | 9.8% | +31.1% | +302.5% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 0.9% | -26.3% | +40.6% |
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2000 | 1 | 0.1% | -19.4% | +34.5% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2003 | 163 | 39.9% | -16.0% | +38.0% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2011 | 180 | 50.9% | -34.0% | +18.1% |
| Apr 2011 | May 2011 | 2 | 1.7% | -24.7% | +54.1% |
| May 2011 | Jul 2013 | 114 | 40.0% | -36.3% | +56.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 0.7% | -6.0% | +55.2% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 4 | 9.6% | -20.4% | +65.5% |
| May 2016 | Jan 2021 | 244 | 79.0% | -11.5% | +54.4% |
| Jan 2022 | Apr 2024 | 119 | 54.3% | -21.8% | +265.1% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 1.0% | +126.2% | +299.6% |
| Average | 66 | — | +1.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBI below its 200-week moving average?
No. Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) is currently 145.4% above its 200-week moving average of $7.14. It would need to fall to $7.14 to cross below the line.
What is PBI's 200-week moving average price?
Pitney Bowes Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $7.14 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PBI drops below its 200-week moving average?
PBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 66 weeks on average.
Is PBI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PBI as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 64. Free cash flow yield is 9.8%. Price-to-book is -3.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PBI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in PBI would have grown to $345, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 3.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PBI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PBI pay a dividend?
Yes. Pitney Bowes Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 228.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31