PBF
PBF Energy Inc. Energy - Refining Investor Relations →
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) closed at $43.00 as of 2026-05-01, trading 24.1% above its 200-week moving average of $34.64. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 17.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.27 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 650 weeks of data, PBF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -5.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $5.1 billion, PBF is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -2.9%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 12.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PBF would have grown to $215, compared to $492 for the S&P 500. PBF has returned 6.3% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PBF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PBF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying PBF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -5.0% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +14.0% vs +29.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PBF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PBF has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +-5.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +10.9% | +124.3% |
| Jan 2014 | Apr 2014 | 13 | 10.5% | -7.2% | +125.9% |
| Jun 2014 | Aug 2014 | 8 | 5.2% | +10.7% | +125.3% |
| Sep 2014 | Nov 2014 | 9 | 14.7% | +27.4% | +143.1% |
| Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | 5 | 8.3% | +42.8% | +128.7% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.2% | -5.1% | +113.3% |
| May 2016 | Dec 2016 | 28 | 24.9% | -20.3% | +109.9% |
| Jan 2017 | Aug 2017 | 34 | 19.8% | +51.3% | +116.9% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 17.4% | -62.3% | +71.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 13 | 25.0% | -69.4% | +77.0% |
| Jan 2020 | Mar 2022 | 113 | 82.0% | -70.2% | +71.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2025 | 51 | 53.5% | +27.4% | +62.8% |
| Dec 2025 | Feb 2026 | 9 | 22.7% | N/A | +29.8% |
| Average | 22 | — | +-5.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PBF below its 200-week moving average?
No. PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) is currently 24.1% above its 200-week moving average of $34.64. It would need to fall to $34.64 to cross below the line.
What is PBF's 200-week moving average price?
PBF Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $34.64 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PBF drops below its 200-week moving average?
PBF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -5.3%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is PBF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PBF as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -2.9%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PBF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.5 years, $100 invested in PBF would have grown to $215, compared to $492 for the S&P 500. That's 6.3% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. PBF has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PBF pay a dividend?
Yes. PBF Energy Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 255.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01