PBF
PBF Energy Inc. Energy - Refining Investor Relations →
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) closed at $35.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 4.0% above its 200-week moving average of $34.14. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -1.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 638 weeks of data, PBF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -5.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $4.1 billion, PBF is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -9.3%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Over the past 12.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PBF would have grown to $176, compared to $471 for the S&P 500. PBF has returned 4.7% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 11 open-market purchases totaling $20,806,891. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: PBF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PBF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying PBF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -5.0% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +14.0% vs +29.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PBF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PBF has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +-5.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | +10.9% | +83.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Apr 2014 | 13 | 10.5% | -7.2% | +85.1% |
| Jun 2014 | Aug 2014 | 8 | 5.2% | +10.7% | +84.6% |
| Sep 2014 | Nov 2014 | 9 | 14.7% | +27.4% | +99.2% |
| Dec 2014 | Jan 2015 | 5 | 8.3% | +42.8% | +87.4% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.2% | -5.1% | +74.7% |
| May 2016 | Dec 2016 | 28 | 24.9% | -20.3% | +72.0% |
| Jan 2017 | Aug 2017 | 34 | 19.8% | +51.3% | +77.7% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 17.4% | -62.3% | +40.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 13 | 25.0% | -69.4% | +45.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Mar 2022 | 113 | 82.0% | -70.2% | +40.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2025 | 51 | 53.5% | +27.4% | +33.4% |
| Dec 2025 | Ongoing | 10+ | 22.7% | Ongoing | +6.3% |
| Average | 22 | — | +-5.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02