PB
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. (PB) closed at $74.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 17.3% above its 200-week moving average of $63.54. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 8.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, PB is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1373 weeks of data, PB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.2%.
With a market cap of $7.3 billion, PB is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.2%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 3.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 26.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PB would have grown to $1594, compared to $802 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 8.2% for the index — confirming PB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -12.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: PB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying PB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.0% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +11.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 96% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.2% vs +25.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PB has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +26.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2000 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 7.7% | +71.5% | +1844.1% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 1.6% | +54.1% | +1719.2% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 1.6% | +15.9% | +309.2% |
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2008 | 19 | 21.9% | -5.1% | +298.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 6 | 8.9% | +7.2% | +312.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 3.6% | +23.8% | +286.6% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 1 | 10.1% | +44.8% | +313.6% |
| Dec 2008 | Jul 2009 | 31 | 30.3% | +47.9% | +319.5% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 6 | 6.3% | +19.7% | +250.5% |
| Oct 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 1.5% | +29.7% | +250.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 1.0% | +32.9% | +224.5% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 3 | 5.1% | -17.8% | +113.8% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 7 | 3.7% | +15.5% | +101.5% |
| Dec 2015 | Apr 2016 | 19 | 29.0% | +50.4% | +104.3% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 4.7% | +40.3% | +102.2% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 4 | 4.9% | +34.9% | +96.4% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 1 | 0.3% | +26.9% | +91.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 1.2% | +27.6% | +59.7% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 30.0% | +26.9% | +44.0% |
| Jun 2020 | Nov 2020 | 24 | 22.2% | +25.1% | +45.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Nov 2023 | 38 | 19.2% | +2.0% | +28.9% |
| Feb 2024 | Mar 2024 | 3 | 3.8% | +28.3% | +28.8% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 3.6% | +11.0% | +30.9% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 7 | 8.9% | +16.2% | +27.2% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 3 | 1.0% | N/A | +19.3% |
| Average | 8 | — | +26.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02