PAYC
Paycom Software Inc. Technology - HR Software Investor Relations →
Paycom Software Inc. (PAYC) closed at $131.96 as of 2026-05-01, trading 41.6% below its 200-week moving average of $225.85. This places PAYC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -45.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 580 weeks of data, PAYC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -4.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, PAYC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.6%. Return on equity stands at 27.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.3% over the past three years. PAYC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 11.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PAYC would have grown to $429, compared to $420 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.9% vs 13.7% for the index — confirming PAYC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 20.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PAYC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PAYC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying PAYC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -16.0% after 12 months (median -33.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +10.0% vs +46.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PAYC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PAYC has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-4.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 13.0% | +73.5% | +409.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 10 | 10.7% | +3.2% | -52.0% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 4.7% | -11.1% | -54.8% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 3 | 3.3% | -47.9% | -55.9% |
| Dec 2022 | Jul 2023 | 31 | 19.0% | -40.3% | -57.0% |
| Jul 2023 | Ongoing | 144+ | 55.5% | Ongoing | -53.6% |
| Average | 32 | — | +-4.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAYC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Paycom Software Inc. (PAYC) is trading 41.6% below its 200-week moving average of $225.85. The current price is $131.96.
What is PAYC's 200-week moving average price?
Paycom Software Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $225.85 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PAYC drops below its 200-week moving average?
PAYC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -4.5%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is PAYC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PAYC as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 3.6%. Return on equity is 27.4%. Price-to-book is 4.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PAYC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.2 years, $100 invested in PAYC would have grown to $429, compared to $420 for the S&P 500. That's 13.9% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. PAYC has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PAYC pay a dividend?
Yes. Paycom Software Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 114.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01