PARR
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Investor Relations →
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) closed at $43.30 as of 2026-02-02, trading 66.1% above its 200-week moving average of $26.07. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 45.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 652 weeks of data, PARR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PARR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.8%.
With a market cap of $2.2 billion, PARR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 17.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 12.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PARR would have grown to $255, compared to $524 for the S&P 500. PARR has returned 7.7% annualized vs 14.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: PARR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PARR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying PARR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +33.5% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.9% vs +29.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PARR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PARR has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +28.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2014 | Jan 2015 | 20 | 16.6% | +11.3% | +159.6% |
| Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | 1 | 2.6% | -13.6% | +142.7% |
| May 2016 | Sep 2017 | 71 | 31.3% | -4.1% | +151.3% |
| Jan 2018 | Aug 2018 | 30 | 8.1% | -3.4% | +157.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Apr 2019 | 23 | 24.2% | +31.9% | +147.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 52 | 64.2% | +6.5% | +161.0% |
| Mar 2021 | Jun 2021 | 14 | 20.6% | -22.5% | +176.1% |
| Jul 2021 | Dec 2021 | 24 | 18.3% | +2.7% | +203.2% |
| Jan 2022 | May 2022 | 17 | 23.5% | +81.8% | +195.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 6.3% | +56.5% | +177.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 5.2% | +128.3% | +192.6% |
| Sep 2024 | Jun 2025 | 40 | 42.2% | +70.6% | +118.0% |
| Average | 25 | — | +28.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02