PAR
PAR Technology Corporation Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) closed at $15.29 as of 2026-06-19, trading 63.9% below its 200-week moving average of $42.36. This places PAR in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -64.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.74 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2224 weeks of data, PAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 44 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PAR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.6%.
With a market cap of $631 million, PAR is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.2%. Return on equity stands at -9.1%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Share count has increased 48.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PAR would have grown to $382, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PAR has returned 4.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $37,535,957. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while PAR is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PAR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PAR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying PAR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +34.6% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +16.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +35.5% vs +33.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PAR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. PAR currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PAR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PAR has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +32.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1983 | Feb 1986 | 118 | 47.7% | -3.4% | +58.2% |
| Jul 1986 | Feb 1992 | 291 | 67.1% | -26.5% | +39.0% |
| Feb 1992 | Mar 1992 | 2 | 8.6% | +10.0% | +358.7% |
| Mar 1993 | May 1993 | 6 | 6.9% | +62.5% | +358.7% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 2 | 14.3% | +51.4% | +395.9% |
| Mar 1997 | May 1997 | 6 | 14.7% | -11.0% | +169.8% |
| Jun 1997 | Sep 1997 | 17 | 11.9% | -31.2% | +138.3% |
| Nov 1997 | Nov 1997 | 2 | 0.7% | -28.3% | +130.8% |
| Dec 1997 | Apr 2002 | 226 | 72.4% | -36.3% | +129.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Sep 2012 | 319 | 72.9% | +1.9% | +83.3% |
| Nov 2012 | Sep 2013 | 45 | 21.8% | +13.5% | +208.9% |
| Feb 2014 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +7.3% | +218.5% |
| Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 1 | 3.8% | -3.7% | +228.8% |
| Apr 2014 | Apr 2014 | 2 | 1.1% | -12.6% | +221.2% |
| May 2014 | Sep 2014 | 18 | 19.5% | -6.1% | +223.9% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 6.5% | +27.4% | +251.5% |
| Mar 2015 | Jun 2015 | 13 | 17.7% | +22.5% | +241.3% |
| Jul 2015 | Sep 2015 | 10 | 7.6% | +11.2% | +228.8% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 8 | 9.9% | +75.2% | +218.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 5 | 30.1% | +604.4% | +37.1% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 2 | 6.8% | N/A | -56.3% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 1.9% | -13.2% | -59.3% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 15 | 17.3% | -13.8% | -58.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Aug 2023 | 54 | 46.0% | -1.7% | -59.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 14 | 33.7% | +35.5% | -63.0% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 2 | 8.0% | +84.3% | -62.0% |
| Feb 2024 | Jul 2024 | 19 | 11.6% | +60.0% | -64.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Ongoing | 41+ | 72.9% | Ongoing | -65.3% |
| Average | 44 | — | +32.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) is trading 63.9% below its 200-week moving average of $42.36. The current price is $15.29.
What is PAR's 200-week moving average price?
PAR Technology Corporation's 200-week moving average is $42.36 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PAR drops below its 200-week moving average?
PAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +32.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 44 weeks on average.
Is PAR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PAR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 0.2%. Return on equity is -9.1%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PAR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PAR would have grown to $382, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 4.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PAR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19