PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) closed at $10.99 as of 2026-02-02, trading 8.6% above its 200-week moving average of $10.12. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 10.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 371 weeks of data, PAGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PAGS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.2%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, PAGS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 138.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.3% over the past three years. PAGS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 7.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PAGS would have grown to $55, compared to $309 for the S&P 500. PAGS has returned -7.9% annualized vs 16.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: PAGS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PAGS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying PAGS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.8% after 12 months (median +61.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.6% vs +40.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PAGS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PAGS has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +30.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Mar 2019 | 10 | 28.8% | +71.6% | -44.8% |
| Apr 2019 | May 2019 | 4 | 10.1% | -14.6% | -55.2% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2019 | 2 | 10.0% | +67.1% | -60.7% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 13 | 50.1% | +85.1% | -63.9% |
| Oct 2021 | Jan 2026 | 224 | 77.2% | -58.1% | -69.0% |
| Average | 51 | — | +30.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02