PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) closed at $9.39 as of 2026-03-20, trading 6.1% below its 200-week moving average of $10.00. This places PAGS in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -6.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.85 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 377 weeks of data, PAGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 43 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PAGS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.2%.
With a market cap of $2.6 billion, PAGS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 346.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 14.5%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 7.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PAGS would have grown to $47, compared to $291 for the S&P 500. PAGS has returned -9.7% annualized vs 15.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PAGS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PAGS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying PAGS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.8% after 12 months (median +61.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.6% vs +40.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PAGS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PAGS has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +30.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Mar 2019 | 10 | 28.8% | +71.6% | -52.9% |
| Apr 2019 | May 2019 | 4 | 10.1% | -14.6% | -61.8% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2019 | 2 | 10.0% | +67.1% | -66.4% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 13 | 50.1% | +85.1% | -69.2% |
| Oct 2021 | Jan 2026 | 224 | 77.2% | -58.1% | -73.5% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 6.5% | Ongoing | -4.7% |
| Average | 43 | — | +30.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAGS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) is trading 6.1% below its 200-week moving average of $10.00. The current price is $9.39.
What is PAGS's 200-week moving average price?
PagSeguro Digital Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $10.00 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PAGS drops below its 200-week moving average?
PAGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +30.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 43 weeks on average.
Is PAGS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PAGS as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 346.9%. Return on equity is 14.5%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PAGS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.3 years, $100 invested in PAGS would have grown to $47, compared to $291 for the S&P 500. That's -9.7% annualized vs 15.7% for the index. PAGS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PAGS pay a dividend?
Yes. PagSeguro Digital Ltd. currently pays a dividend yield of 1108.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20