OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas Investor Relations →
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) closed at $58.71 as of 2026-05-01, trading 8.9% above its 200-week moving average of $53.93. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 5.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2265 weeks of data, OXY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OXY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.8%.
With a market cap of $58.2 billion, OXY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 5.9%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
Share count has increased 9.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OXY would have grown to $1862, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. OXY has returned 9.2% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -30.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OXY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OXY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying OXY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.8% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.9% vs +24.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OXY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OXY has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +11.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1986 | Aug 1986 | 1 | 1.5% | +77.3% | +2293.9% |
| Nov 1987 | Mar 1988 | 18 | 12.6% | +11.0% | +1858.9% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 2 | 1.1% | +20.8% | +1758.1% |
| Jul 1988 | Jul 1988 | 2 | 0.5% | +20.9% | +1750.1% |
| Aug 1988 | Sep 1988 | 5 | 1.5% | +18.7% | +1741.1% |
| Oct 1988 | Oct 1988 | 1 | 0.1% | +15.8% | +1724.8% |
| Nov 1988 | Nov 1988 | 1 | 1.1% | +29.4% | +1733.8% |
| Dec 1988 | Dec 1988 | 1 | 0.9% | +26.6% | +1724.8% |
| Aug 1990 | Jul 1991 | 46 | 26.1% | +12.3% | +1604.0% |
| Oct 1991 | May 1992 | 29 | 20.4% | -20.0% | +1629.8% |
| Jun 1992 | Mar 1993 | 38 | 22.0% | +7.7% | +1637.5% |
| Oct 1993 | May 1994 | 30 | 14.3% | +18.0% | +1673.4% |
| Jul 1998 | Jun 1999 | 48 | 32.3% | -7.2% | +1118.3% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 7 | 10.1% | +8.9% | +1168.0% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 2 | 8.0% | +12.6% | +1173.5% |
| Jan 2000 | Apr 2000 | 10 | 26.2% | +17.3% | +1153.8% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 1.9% | +39.3% | +1102.4% |
| Jul 2000 | Aug 2000 | 4 | 6.9% | +37.7% | +1134.3% |
| Oct 2000 | Nov 2000 | 6 | 6.5% | +27.5% | +1072.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2008 | 9 | 16.2% | +85.4% | +126.4% |
| Jan 2009 | Jan 2009 | 1 | 0.1% | +50.4% | +84.4% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 3 | 7.5% | +66.1% | +97.2% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 5.7% | +23.8% | +29.6% |
| Oct 2012 | Jan 2013 | 11 | 8.8% | +24.0% | +13.7% |
| Mar 2013 | Apr 2013 | 7 | 4.8% | +21.3% | +10.2% |
| Nov 2014 | Jun 2016 | 85 | 18.9% | -8.1% | -0.3% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 4 | 2.5% | -16.7% | +2.3% |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2017 | 65 | 17.9% | -9.4% | +7.6% |
| Feb 2018 | Apr 2018 | 5 | 6.2% | +7.4% | +9.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 8.1% | -39.4% | +6.0% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 0.5% | -31.1% | +6.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 3.9% | -54.2% | +10.1% |
| Apr 2019 | Jan 2022 | 146 | 81.7% | -76.0% | +10.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Mar 2026 | 71 | 28.9% | -15.2% | +22.2% |
| Apr 2026 | Apr 2026 | 1 | 0.2% | N/A | +9.1% |
| Average | 19 | — | +11.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXY below its 200-week moving average?
No. Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is currently 8.9% above its 200-week moving average of $53.93. It would need to fall to $53.93 to cross below the line.
What is OXY's 200-week moving average price?
Occidental Petroleum Corporation's 200-week moving average is $53.93 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OXY drops below its 200-week moving average?
OXY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is OXY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OXY as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 69. Free cash flow yield is 3.5%. Return on equity is 5.9%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OXY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in OXY would have grown to $1862, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 9.2% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. OXY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OXY pay a dividend?
Yes. Occidental Petroleum Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 177.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01