OXM
Oxford Industries, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Apparel Manufacturing Investor Relations →
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) closed at $36.39 as of 2026-06-19, trading 48.5% below its 200-week moving average of $70.61. This places OXM in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -47.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 3.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, OXM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OXM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.6%.
With a market cap of $543 million, OXM is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at -7.0%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OXM would have grown to $814, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. OXM has returned 6.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -47.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OXM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OXM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying OXM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.5% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +15.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.4% vs +29.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OXM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OXM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where OXM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $31.57 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $34.88 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $38.97 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $44.14 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $50.90 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OXM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OXM has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +11.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1984 | Jan 1985 | 3 | 7.3% | +27.2% | +1872.3% |
| Mar 1985 | May 1985 | 9 | 9.3% | +43.9% | +1751.5% |
| Jul 1985 | Aug 1985 | 3 | 7.2% | +29.4% | +1678.9% |
| Sep 1985 | Oct 1985 | 7 | 12.5% | +14.6% | +1790.1% |
| Dec 1985 | Dec 1985 | 1 | 2.9% | +5.6% | +1580.1% |
| Sep 1986 | Feb 1987 | 22 | 13.8% | +15.8% | +1387.3% |
| Mar 1987 | Apr 1987 | 1 | 2.4% | -14.2% | +1400.1% |
| May 1987 | May 1987 | 1 | 1.7% | -27.2% | +1400.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Aug 1989 | 97 | 33.4% | -15.3% | +1454.8% |
| Jan 1990 | Apr 1991 | 61 | 36.3% | -24.3% | +1642.0% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 4 | 4.8% | -4.0% | +774.1% |
| Mar 1995 | Dec 1996 | 90 | 25.3% | -5.0% | +754.8% |
| Feb 1999 | Mar 1999 | 4 | 7.8% | -27.3% | +514.9% |
| Aug 1999 | Jul 2001 | 104 | 39.5% | -11.9% | +499.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 16.4% | +14.5% | +603.2% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 3 | 3.5% | +221.9% | +528.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2010 | 162 | 89.4% | -44.8% | +38.8% |
| Feb 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 0.7% | +19.9% | -9.8% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 3.1% | +46.6% | -8.1% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 0.4% | +16.6% | -21.4% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 2 | 1.3% | +4.8% | -21.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 8.7% | +4.5% | -15.2% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 2 | 5.5% | -6.9% | -20.1% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 5.5% | -4.3% | -21.9% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 12 | 12.6% | +5.4% | -19.9% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 3 | 5.1% | +6.6% | -24.0% |
| Dec 2016 | Oct 2017 | 45 | 19.9% | +15.2% | -24.8% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 1.3% | +48.9% | -26.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 4.6% | +20.6% | -30.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 2.7% | -29.6% | -32.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 45 | 53.2% | +13.0% | -34.1% |
| Aug 2024 | Ongoing | 97+ | 57.5% | Ongoing | -55.2% |
| Average | 25 | — | +11.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM) is trading 48.5% below its 200-week moving average of $70.61. The current price is $36.39.
What is OXM's 200-week moving average price?
Oxford Industries, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $70.61 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OXM drops below its 200-week moving average?
OXM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is OXM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OXM as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 2.4%. Return on equity is -7.0%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OXM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in OXM would have grown to $814, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 6.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. OXM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OXM pay a dividend?
Yes. Oxford Industries, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 766.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19