OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) closed at $9.12 as of 2026-03-20, trading 36.0% below its 200-week moving average of $14.24. This places OWL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -38.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 14, OWL is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.56 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 226 weeks of data, OWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OWL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $14.2 billion, OWL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 5.2%. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
Share count has increased 49.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OWL would have grown to $73, compared to $151 for the S&P 500. OWL has returned -7.0% annualized vs 9.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $7,142,238. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while OWL is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 21.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OWL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OWL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying OWL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.2% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +13.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.8% vs +34.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OWL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OWL has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 10 | 7.9% | +6.1% | -10.2% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 14 | 19.4% | -2.0% | -8.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 21 | 28.7% | -2.0% | -9.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 13.5% | +73.1% | -1.7% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 2 | 2.8% | +66.3% | -7.5% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 1.8% | N/A | -33.7% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 38.6% | Ongoing | -31.8% |
| Average | 11 | — | +28.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OWL below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) is trading 36.0% below its 200-week moving average of $14.24. The current price is $9.12.
What is OWL's 200-week moving average price?
Blue Owl Capital Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.24 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OWL drops below its 200-week moving average?
OWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is OWL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OWL as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 14 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 9.5%. Return on equity is 5.2%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OWL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.4 years, $100 invested in OWL would have grown to $73, compared to $151 for the S&P 500. That's -7.0% annualized vs 9.9% for the index. OWL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OWL pay a dividend?
Yes. Blue Owl Capital Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 987.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20