OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) closed at $12.52 as of 2026-02-02, trading 13.8% below its 200-week moving average of $14.53. This places OWL in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 220 weeks of data, OWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OWL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $19.6 billion, OWL is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 5.1%. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.
Share count has increased 50.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OWL would have grown to $98, compared to $161 for the S&P 500. OWL has returned -0.5% annualized vs 11.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $7,142,238. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while OWL is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 50.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: OWL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OWL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying OWL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.2% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +13.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.8% vs +34.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OWL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OWL has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 10 | 7.9% | +6.1% | +20.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 14 | 19.4% | -2.0% | +22.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 21 | 28.7% | -2.0% | +22.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 13.5% | +73.1% | +32.4% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 2 | 2.8% | +66.3% | +24.6% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 1.8% | N/A | -10.8% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 13.8% | Ongoing | -8.2% |
| Average | 10 | — | +28.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02