OWL

Blue Owl Capital Inc. Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →

YES
13.8% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -6.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $14.53
14-Week RSI 34

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) closed at $12.52 as of 2026-02-02, trading 13.8% below its 200-week moving average of $14.53. This places OWL in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 220 weeks of data, OWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OWL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.

With a market cap of $19.6 billion, OWL is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 5.1%. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.

Share count has increased 50.2% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 4.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OWL would have grown to $98, compared to $161 for the S&P 500. OWL has returned -0.5% annualized vs 11.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $7,142,238. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while OWL is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 50.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: OWL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After OWL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying OWL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.2% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +13.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.8% vs +34.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OWL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Insider Buying Activity

4 conviction buys in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases). 🔥 Cluster Buy Detected

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-12-02LIPSCHULTZ MARC SChief Executive Officer$2,379,469158,000N/A
2025-12-02OSTROVER DOUGLAS I.Chief Executive Officer$2,379,469158,000N/A
2025-12-02PACKER CRAIG WPresident$1,882,492125,000N/A
2025-12-01KIRSHENBAUM ALANChief Financial Officer$500,80833,670N/A

Historical Touches

OWL has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 2022Mar 2022107.9%+6.1%+20.9%
Apr 2022Aug 20221419.4%-2.0%+22.6%
Aug 2022Jan 20232128.7%-2.0%+22.0%
Mar 2023Jul 20231813.5%+73.1%+32.4%
Aug 2023Aug 202322.8%+66.3%+24.6%
Nov 2025Nov 202511.8%N/A-10.8%
Jan 2026Ongoing2+13.8%Ongoing-8.2%
Average10+28.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02