OVV

Ovintiv Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →

NO
11.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 4.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $41.70
14-Week RSI 70

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) closed at $46.53 as of 2026-02-02, trading 11.6% above its 200-week moving average of $41.70. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 4.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, OVV is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1195 weeks of data, OVV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $13.2 billion, OVV is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 2.3%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Over the past 23 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OVV would have grown to $184, compared to $1244 for the S&P 500. OVV has returned 2.7% annualized vs 11.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: OVV vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After OVV Crosses Below the Line?

Across 19 historical episodes, buying OVV when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -6.7% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 31% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -18.5% vs +24.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OVV crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

OVV has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 2008May 20093329.9%+61.2%-30.5%
Jun 2009Sep 20091214.6%+30.1%-48.5%
Nov 2009Dec 2009448.1%+4.1%-50.8%
Aug 2010Sep 201077.7%-8.3%-52.3%
Oct 2010Jan 2011128.2%-21.9%-50.8%
Jun 2011Jun 201114.1%-28.6%-54.1%
Jul 2011Mar 201414038.7%-24.6%-54.6%
Oct 2014Oct 201716080.1%-54.5%-39.5%
Nov 2017Dec 201755.9%-35.4%-3.8%
Jan 2018Apr 20181011.6%-40.1%-1.4%
Oct 2018May 202113594.2%-50.7%+32.7%
Jun 2021Jun 202116.7%+65.8%+81.9%
Jul 2021Sep 2021922.2%+60.7%+99.6%
Sep 2024Sep 202411.0%+15.9%+25.9%
Oct 2024Nov 202411.3%-0.8%+24.0%
Dec 2024Dec 202425.7%+1.2%+26.9%
Mar 2025Mar 202526.3%N/A+24.4%
Mar 2025Jun 20251020.3%N/A+44.4%
Jun 2025Jan 20263114.2%N/A+22.9%
Average30+-1.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02