OUT
OUTFRONT Media Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Specialty Investor Relations →
OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) closed at $31.87 as of 2026-07-31, trading 93.1% above its 200-week moving average of $16.50. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 95.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 596 weeks of data, OUT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OUT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.3%.
With a market cap of $5.6 billion, OUT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 26.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.5x book value.
Share count has increased 9.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OUT would have grown to $201, compared to $436 for the S&P 500. OUT has returned 6.3% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OUT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OUT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying OUT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.4% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +15.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.5% vs +31.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OUT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OUT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where OUT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $27.24 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $28.76 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $30.47 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $32.38 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.55 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OUT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OUT has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +13.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2016 | 54 | 26.4% | -6.2% | +126.6% |
| Jul 2016 | Sep 2016 | 8 | 8.6% | +3.7% | +138.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 7 | 8.6% | +13.7% | +141.3% |
| May 2017 | Jun 2017 | 2 | 1.6% | -6.8% | +135.6% |
| Jul 2017 | Jul 2017 | 1 | 0.1% | -1.3% | +131.9% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 7 | 5.0% | -8.7% | +136.4% |
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 0.0% | -0.5% | +130.6% |
| Jan 2018 | Jul 2018 | 23 | 15.1% | +3.1% | +131.2% |
| Jul 2018 | Nov 2018 | 15 | 14.3% | +39.2% | +134.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 11.8% | +39.2% | +143.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Feb 2021 | 47 | 61.2% | +19.6% | +126.0% |
| May 2022 | Aug 2024 | 119 | 52.7% | -28.4% | +103.1% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 6 | 10.7% | +106.0% | +144.5% |
| Average | 23 | — | +13.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OUT below its 200-week moving average?
No. OUTFRONT Media Inc. (OUT) is currently 93.1% above its 200-week moving average of $16.50. It would need to fall to $16.50 to cross below the line.
What is OUT's 200-week moving average price?
OUTFRONT Media Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $16.50 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OUT drops below its 200-week moving average?
OUT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is OUT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OUT as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 3.1%. Return on equity is 26.8%. Price-to-book is 8.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OUT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.4 years, $100 invested in OUT would have grown to $201, compared to $436 for the S&P 500. That's 6.3% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. OUT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OUT pay a dividend?
Yes. OUTFRONT Media Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 376.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31