OTTR
Otter Tail Corporation Industrials - Conglomerates Investor Relations →
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) closed at $87.50 as of 2026-06-19, trading 15.5% above its 200-week moving average of $75.76. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 18.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.72 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2734 weeks of data, OTTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OTTR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.6%.
With a market cap of $3.7 billion, OTTR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 15.5%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OTTR would have grown to $2023, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. OTTR has returned 9.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -23.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OTTR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OTTR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying OTTR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.3% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +20.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 89% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.0% vs +28.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OTTR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OTTR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OTTR has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +8.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Jun 1975 | 72 | 22.8% | -4.5% | +10083.8% |
| Jul 1975 | Jan 1976 | 27 | 8.4% | N/A | +10711.5% |
| Feb 1976 | Jul 1976 | 24 | 5.7% | +19.9% | +11094.9% |
| May 1978 | May 1978 | 1 | 0.4% | +9.3% | +10353.5% |
| Jun 1978 | Jun 1978 | 1 | 2.0% | +14.1% | +10493.9% |
| May 1979 | May 1979 | 1 | 1.5% | +1.9% | +9954.0% |
| Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 3 | 4.3% | +2.6% | +10018.5% |
| Nov 1979 | Dec 1979 | 3 | 2.9% | -10.7% | +9827.6% |
| Dec 1979 | May 1980 | 21 | 15.2% | -6.2% | +9643.7% |
| Aug 1980 | Aug 1982 | 105 | 20.1% | -11.7% | +9643.7% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 1.5% | +1.5% | +713.5% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 5.5% | +21.8% | +704.6% |
| Dec 2004 | Dec 2004 | 1 | 0.4% | +24.7% | +679.3% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 6 | 4.2% | +26.9% | +709.0% |
| Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 9 | 4.0% | +18.3% | +672.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2011 | 168 | 44.7% | -16.1% | +495.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | 14.7% | +12.4% | +147.5% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 9.9% | +29.5% | +167.3% |
| Jun 2020 | Mar 2021 | 39 | 15.8% | +29.2% | +156.9% |
| Average | 26 | — | +8.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTTR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is currently 15.5% above its 200-week moving average of $75.76. It would need to fall to $75.76 to cross below the line.
What is OTTR's 200-week moving average price?
Otter Tail Corporation's 200-week moving average is $75.76 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OTTR drops below its 200-week moving average?
OTTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is OTTR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OTTR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 15.5%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OTTR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in OTTR would have grown to $2023, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 9.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. OTTR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OTTR pay a dividend?
Yes. Otter Tail Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 247.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19