OTTR
Otter Tail Corporation Industrials - Conglomerates Investor Relations →
Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) closed at $84.20 as of 2026-03-20, trading 12.8% above its 200-week moving average of $74.64. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 17.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2721 weeks of data, OTTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OTTR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.6%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, OTTR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 15.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OTTR would have grown to $1934, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. OTTR has returned 9.3% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -23.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OTTR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OTTR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying OTTR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.3% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +20.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 89% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.0% vs +28.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OTTR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OTTR has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +8.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Jun 1975 | 72 | 22.8% | -4.5% | +9636.9% |
| Jul 1975 | Jan 1976 | 27 | 8.4% | N/A | +10237.1% |
| Feb 1976 | Jul 1976 | 24 | 5.7% | +19.9% | +10603.7% |
| May 1978 | May 1978 | 1 | 0.4% | +9.3% | +9894.8% |
| Jun 1978 | Jun 1978 | 1 | 2.0% | +14.1% | +10029.0% |
| May 1979 | May 1979 | 1 | 1.5% | +1.9% | +9512.9% |
| Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 3 | 4.3% | +2.6% | +9574.5% |
| Nov 1979 | Dec 1979 | 3 | 2.9% | -10.7% | +9391.9% |
| Dec 1979 | May 1980 | 21 | 15.2% | -6.2% | +9216.2% |
| Aug 1980 | Aug 1982 | 105 | 20.1% | -11.7% | +9216.2% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 1.5% | +1.5% | +677.8% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 5.5% | +21.8% | +669.3% |
| Dec 2004 | Dec 2004 | 1 | 0.4% | +24.7% | +645.1% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2005 | 6 | 4.2% | +26.9% | +673.5% |
| Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 9 | 4.0% | +18.3% | +638.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2011 | 168 | 44.7% | -16.1% | +469.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | 14.7% | +12.4% | +136.7% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 9.9% | +29.5% | +155.5% |
| Jun 2020 | Mar 2021 | 39 | 15.8% | +29.2% | +145.6% |
| Average | 26 | — | +8.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OTTR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Otter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is currently 12.8% above its 200-week moving average of $74.64. It would need to fall to $74.64 to cross below the line.
What is OTTR's 200-week moving average price?
Otter Tail Corporation's 200-week moving average is $74.64 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OTTR drops below its 200-week moving average?
OTTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is OTTR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OTTR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 15.6%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OTTR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in OTTR would have grown to $1934, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 9.3% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. OTTR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OTTR pay a dividend?
Yes. Otter Tail Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 255.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20