OTLY
Oatly Group AB Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations โ
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) closed at $10.69 as of 2026-02-02, trading 62.9% below its 200-week moving average of $28.81. This places OTLY in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -60.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 22, OTLY is in oversold territory.
Over the past 198 weeks of data, OTLY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 198 weeks.
With a market cap of $324 million, OTLY is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -179.4%. The stock trades at 17.4x book value.
Over the past 3.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OTLY would have grown to $15, compared to $177 for the S&P 500. OTLY has returned -38.4% annualized vs 15.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: OTLY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OTLY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying OTLY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -35.0% after 12 months (median -35.0%), compared to +3.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -65.0% vs +26.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OTLY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OTLY has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2022 | Ongoing | 198+ | 92.9% | Ongoing | -85.0% |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02