OSW
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited Consumer Cyclical - Leisure Investor Relations →
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) closed at $21.87 as of 2026-09-18, trading 29.7% above its 200-week moving average of $16.86. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 29.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 34, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.12 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 413 weeks of data, OSW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OSW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.9%.
With a market cap of $2.2 billion, OSW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.2%. Return on equity stands at 14.3%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Share count has increased 9.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OSW would have grown to $224, compared to $317 for the S&P 500. OSW has returned 10.6% annualized vs 15.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 50.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OSW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OSW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying OSW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +44.7% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +10.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 43% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.7% vs +21.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OSW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OSW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where OSW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $22.03 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $24.57 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $27.77 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $31.92 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $37.54 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $0.28 | $0.29 | +3.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.26 | $0.27 | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-18 | $0.26 | $0.24 | -6.2% |
| 2025-10-29 | $0.29 | $0.29 | — |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OSW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OSW has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +0.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Feb 2021 | 51 | 77.8% | +5.9% | +112.9% |
| Mar 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 | 3.6% | +2.6% | +120.9% |
| Apr 2021 | Apr 2021 | 1 | 2.2% | -0.1% | +117.7% |
| May 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 0.4% | -10.3% | +113.7% |
| Jun 2021 | Oct 2021 | 15 | 10.4% | -29.2% | +116.4% |
| Nov 2021 | Jan 2023 | 59 | 34.8% | +7.5% | +136.3% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | +30.1% | +117.0% |
| Average | 18 | — | +0.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSW below its 200-week moving average?
No. OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) is currently 29.7% above its 200-week moving average of $16.86. It would need to fall to $16.86 to cross below the line.
What is OSW's 200-week moving average price?
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's 200-week moving average is $16.86 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OSW drops below its 200-week moving average?
OSW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +0.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is OSW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OSW as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 34. Free cash flow yield is 2.2%. Return on equity is 14.3%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OSW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8 years, $100 invested in OSW would have grown to $224, compared to $317 for the S&P 500. That's 10.6% annualized vs 15.5% for the index. OSW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OSW pay a dividend?
Yes. OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 91.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18