OSUR
OraSure Technologies, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies Investor Relations →
OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR) closed at $4.25 as of 2026-06-19, trading 5.4% below its 200-week moving average of $4.49. This places OSUR in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -7.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, OSUR is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2017 weeks of data, OSUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 44 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OSUR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.6%.
With a market cap of $293 million, OSUR is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -21.2%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OSUR would have grown to $32, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. OSUR has returned -3.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OSUR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OSUR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 33 historical episodes, buying OSUR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -0.1% after 12 months (median -7.0%), compared to +10.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -1.3% vs +18.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OSUR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. OSUR currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OSUR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OSUR has crossed below its 200-week MA 44 times with an average 1-year return of +6.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 10 | 36.1% | +80.0% | +10.8% |
| Jan 1988 | Feb 1988 | 4 | 9.0% | +29.6% | -17.9% |
| Apr 1988 | Apr 1988 | 1 | 2.4% | -11.1% | -17.9% |
| Jun 1988 | Jun 1988 | 2 | 6.5% | -14.8% | -17.9% |
| Jul 1988 | Jul 1988 | 1 | 6.7% | -15.4% | -14.8% |
| Nov 1988 | Nov 1988 | 1 | 2.7% | -14.3% | -20.9% |
| Dec 1988 | Dec 1988 | 1 | 6.1% | -5.6% | -17.9% |
| Feb 1989 | Feb 1989 | 1 | 3.7% | -26.8% | -20.9% |
| Apr 1989 | Apr 1990 | 55 | 26.7% | -16.4% | -19.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 2 | 11.9% | +184.9% | -16.4% |
| Sep 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 1.9% | +180.0% | -19.4% |
| Feb 1994 | Aug 1994 | 23 | 15.9% | +17.2% | -66.9% |
| Jan 1995 | Feb 1995 | 7 | 23.1% | -15.8% | -70.8% |
| Mar 1995 | Feb 1996 | 48 | 44.8% | -10.6% | -70.7% |
| Feb 1996 | Apr 1996 | 7 | 14.8% | -27.5% | -68.8% |
| Jun 1996 | Jan 2000 | 185 | 67.0% | -49.2% | -66.4% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 3 | 9.9% | +51.5% | -33.3% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 2 | 6.1% | -17.3% | -37.0% |
| Jan 2002 | Aug 2003 | 81 | 55.3% | -17.5% | -40.6% |
| Oct 2003 | Jan 2004 | 13 | 10.5% | -21.0% | -50.8% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 6.9% | -19.3% | -46.5% |
| Apr 2004 | Jun 2004 | 8 | 18.0% | -5.1% | -49.3% |
| Jul 2004 | Apr 2005 | 41 | 35.6% | +40.4% | -46.4% |
| Aug 2006 | Nov 2006 | 15 | 23.7% | +52.0% | -32.0% |
| Dec 2006 | Jan 2007 | 3 | 4.1% | +7.1% | -47.7% |
| Jan 2007 | Jul 2007 | 24 | 14.7% | -0.6% | -48.7% |
| Jul 2007 | Jul 2007 | 1 | 3.5% | -45.5% | -47.6% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 1.2% | -56.3% | -49.2% |
| Jan 2008 | Apr 2010 | 115 | 70.1% | -67.3% | -48.4% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 32 | 40.9% | +51.8% | -20.3% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 1 | 0.0% | -9.1% | -36.5% |
| Feb 2013 | Mar 2014 | 56 | 44.6% | -0.2% | -30.1% |
| Mar 2014 | Jun 2014 | 10 | 18.3% | -10.0% | -41.7% |
| Aug 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 1.4% | -31.1% | -43.3% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 4 | 4.1% | -32.1% | -43.8% |
| Feb 2015 | Mar 2016 | 58 | 39.7% | -20.5% | -45.8% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 3 | 3.8% | +125.8% | -36.0% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 8.2% | +135.2% | -35.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | 8.5% | -29.7% | -62.9% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2020 | 62 | 52.2% | -39.2% | -60.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 22.2% | -10.2% | -58.9% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2020 | 6 | 21.8% | -9.4% | -63.6% |
| Nov 2020 | Jan 2021 | 10 | 20.8% | -23.8% | -67.4% |
| Feb 2021 | Ongoing | 279+ | 73.9% | Ongoing | -62.8% |
| Average | 27 | — | +6.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSUR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR) is trading 5.4% below its 200-week moving average of $4.49. The current price is $4.25.
What is OSUR's 200-week moving average price?
OraSure Technologies, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $4.49 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OSUR drops below its 200-week moving average?
OSUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 44 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is OSUR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OSUR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 74 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -21.2%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OSUR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in OSUR would have grown to $32, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's -3.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. OSUR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19