OSK
Oshkosh Corporation Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Investor Relations →
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) closed at $140.46 as of 2026-03-20, trading 38.3% above its 200-week moving average of $101.56. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 45.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2063 weeks of data, OSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OSK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.9%.
With a market cap of $8.9 billion, OSK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. Return on equity stands at 14.9%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OSK would have grown to $14589, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.2% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming OSK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OSK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OSK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying OSK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +34.8% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +21.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.6% vs +37.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OSK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OSK has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +27.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 2 | 10.7% | +46.8% | +8166.5% |
| Oct 1986 | Oct 1986 | 1 | 2.3% | +15.4% | +7447.7% |
| Dec 1986 | Dec 1986 | 3 | 3.7% | -37.6% | +7287.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Aug 1991 | 199 | 54.9% | -44.3% | +7206.4% |
| Jun 1992 | Dec 1992 | 25 | 18.1% | -0.5% | +15867.3% |
| Jan 1993 | Jan 1993 | 1 | 1.3% | +8.0% | +13757.1% |
| Jan 1993 | Jan 1994 | 49 | 15.7% | +19.1% | +14489.2% |
| Mar 1994 | Apr 1994 | 4 | 8.3% | +38.1% | +13720.4% |
| Nov 1996 | Nov 1996 | 2 | 6.3% | +71.7% | +11795.7% |
| Dec 1996 | Jan 1997 | 5 | 5.1% | +71.1% | +11242.4% |
| Mar 1997 | May 1997 | 5 | 3.5% | +79.9% | +10741.6% |
| Dec 2007 | Nov 2009 | 97 | 90.0% | -75.4% | +308.8% |
| Jan 2010 | Jan 2010 | 1 | 3.2% | +3.7% | +387.3% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 29 | 21.9% | -18.7% | +388.3% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 7 | 12.9% | -25.6% | +477.1% |
| Jul 2011 | Sep 2012 | 58 | 43.5% | -8.4% | +583.4% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 5 | 5.9% | +31.2% | +336.1% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 5 | 8.4% | +49.6% | +334.1% |
| Dec 2015 | Apr 2016 | 20 | 21.6% | +83.0% | +322.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 10.0% | +33.7% | +170.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +62.2% | +166.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 28.6% | +66.8% | +123.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 3.8% | +82.8% | +115.0% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 1 | 2.0% | +49.4% | +113.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 8.4% | +60.9% | +127.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Oct 2022 | 19 | 19.8% | +4.2% | +83.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 3.9% | +17.6% | +71.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 19 | 18.1% | +40.3% | +78.3% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 4.2% | +23.8% | +64.9% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.1% | +46.1% | +48.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 6 | 8.9% | +41.4% | +52.8% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 9 | 14.6% | +56.2% | +49.1% |
| Average | 19 | — | +27.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) is currently 38.3% above its 200-week moving average of $101.56. It would need to fall to $101.56 to cross below the line.
What is OSK's 200-week moving average price?
Oshkosh Corporation's 200-week moving average is $101.56 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OSK drops below its 200-week moving average?
OSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is OSK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OSK as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 54. Free cash flow yield is 2.7%. Return on equity is 14.9%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OSK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in OSK would have grown to $14589, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 16.2% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. OSK has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OSK pay a dividend?
Yes. Oshkosh Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 162.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20