OSK
Oshkosh Corporation Industrials - Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Investor Relations →
Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) closed at $171.71 as of 2026-02-02, trading 72.2% above its 200-week moving average of $99.71. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 44.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, OSK is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2057 weeks of data, OSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OSK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.0%.
With a market cap of $11.0 billion, OSK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. Return on equity stands at 14.9%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OSK would have grown to $17776, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.9% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming OSK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -37.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: OSK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OSK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying OSK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +33.4% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +21.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.6% vs +37.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OSK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OSK has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +27.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1986 | Sep 1986 | 2 | 10.7% | +46.8% | +9972.0% |
| Oct 1986 | Oct 1986 | 1 | 2.3% | +15.4% | +9096.2% |
| Dec 1986 | Dec 1986 | 3 | 3.7% | -37.6% | +8900.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Aug 1991 | 199 | 54.9% | -44.3% | +8802.2% |
| Jun 1992 | Dec 1992 | 25 | 18.1% | -0.5% | +19354.7% |
| Jan 1993 | Jan 1993 | 1 | 1.3% | +8.0% | +16783.7% |
| Jan 1993 | Jan 1994 | 49 | 15.7% | +19.1% | +17675.7% |
| Mar 1994 | Apr 1994 | 4 | 8.3% | +38.1% | +16738.9% |
| Nov 1996 | Nov 1996 | 2 | 6.3% | +71.7% | +14393.8% |
| Dec 1996 | Jan 1997 | 5 | 5.1% | +71.1% | +13719.7% |
| Mar 1997 | May 1997 | 5 | 3.5% | +79.9% | +13109.5% |
| Dec 2007 | Nov 2009 | 97 | 90.0% | -75.4% | +398.1% |
| Jan 2010 | Jan 2010 | 1 | 3.2% | +3.7% | +493.7% |
| May 2010 | Dec 2010 | 29 | 21.9% | -18.7% | +494.9% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 7 | 12.9% | -25.6% | +603.2% |
| Jul 2011 | Sep 2012 | 58 | 43.5% | -8.4% | +732.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2015 | 5 | 5.9% | +31.2% | +431.3% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 5 | 8.4% | +49.6% | +428.9% |
| Dec 2015 | Apr 2016 | 20 | 21.6% | +83.0% | +414.2% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 10.0% | +33.7% | +229.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +62.2% | +224.8% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 28.6% | +66.8% | +172.2% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 3.8% | +82.8% | +161.9% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 1 | 2.0% | +49.4% | +160.7% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 8.4% | +60.9% | +177.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Oct 2022 | 19 | 19.8% | +4.2% | +123.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 3.9% | +17.6% | +109.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 19 | 18.1% | +40.3% | +117.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 4.2% | +23.8% | +100.9% |
| Sep 2024 | Sep 2024 | 1 | 0.1% | +46.1% | +80.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 6 | 8.9% | +41.4% | +86.2% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 9 | 14.6% | N/A | +81.6% |
| Average | 19 | — | +27.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02