ORI
Old Republic International Corporation Financial Services - Insurance - Property & Casualty Investor Relations →
Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) closed at $41.77 as of 2026-02-02, trading 55.0% above its 200-week moving average of $26.94. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 46.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, ORI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ORI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.2%.
With a market cap of $10.3 billion, ORI is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 19.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ORI would have grown to $3403, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.2% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming ORI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: ORI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ORI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying ORI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.8% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.5% vs +23.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ORI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ORI has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +6.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Aug 1981 | 1 | 1.3% | +14.2% | +26438.8% |
| Aug 1981 | Oct 1981 | 8 | 11.4% | +27.2% | +26870.3% |
| Dec 1986 | Jan 1987 | 7 | 7.8% | -24.3% | +9614.1% |
| Feb 1987 | Jun 1987 | 18 | 18.5% | -7.0% | +9492.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1989 | 68 | 28.8% | +0.1% | +9219.1% |
| Apr 1989 | Apr 1989 | 2 | 0.9% | +1.8% | +9041.3% |
| May 1989 | Jun 1989 | 4 | 0.5% | +0.8% | +9041.3% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 2 | 1.1% | +12.9% | +9087.9% |
| Mar 1990 | Apr 1990 | 1 | 1.0% | +37.1% | +9217.5% |
| Oct 1990 | Nov 1990 | 5 | 10.3% | +64.1% | +9192.1% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 5 | 6.9% | +65.9% | +4096.6% |
| Feb 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 0.5% | -37.3% | +1742.3% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 5 | 3.1% | -35.1% | +1727.0% |
| May 1999 | Jul 2000 | 61 | 41.2% | +2.0% | +1796.0% |
| Jul 2007 | Oct 2007 | 10 | 7.7% | -42.8% | +644.9% |
| Oct 2007 | Apr 2010 | 130 | 53.7% | -44.9% | +744.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.8% | -3.3% | +820.2% |
| Jun 2010 | Aug 2010 | 9 | 7.0% | -4.2% | +827.4% |
| Jul 2011 | Jan 2012 | 28 | 30.4% | -19.3% | +946.9% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2012 | 5 | 11.7% | +51.7% | +1001.9% |
| Jun 2012 | Oct 2012 | 15 | 20.1% | +43.1% | +1027.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 26.6% | +34.7% | +275.7% |
| Average | 19 | — | +6.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02