ORCL
Oracle Corporation Technology - Enterprise Software Investor Relations →
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) closed at $142.82 as of 2026-02-02, trading 6.8% above its 200-week moving average of $133.78. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 17, ORCL is in oversold territory.
Over the past 2034 weeks of data, ORCL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ORCL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +41.5%.
With a market cap of $410.5 billion, ORCL is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 69.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 13.7x book value.
Share count has increased 5.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ORCL would have grown to $22260, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.7% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming ORCL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,060,171.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: ORCL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ORCL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying ORCL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +39.7% after 12 months (median +38.0%), compared to +17.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +204.5% vs +34.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ORCL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ORCL has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +41.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1991 | 56 | 53.3% | -3.2% | +62131.7% |
| Dec 1991 | Dec 1991 | 3 | 7.7% | +90.6% | +60187.0% |
| Apr 1992 | Apr 1992 | 3 | 5.1% | +170.8% | +54499.6% |
| Dec 1997 | Jan 1998 | 5 | 13.1% | +92.1% | +4899.5% |
| Jun 1998 | Jul 1998 | 1 | 2.5% | +152.0% | +4585.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | 13.7% | +143.3% | +4400.9% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 4 | 13.4% | -10.4% | +1170.2% |
| May 2001 | May 2001 | 1 | 0.2% | -49.6% | +1023.4% |
| May 2001 | Jun 2001 | 3 | 7.3% | -50.1% | +1026.3% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2004 | 169 | 57.8% | -35.3% | +1078.3% |
| Nov 2004 | Nov 2004 | 2 | 1.2% | -1.0% | +1301.0% |
| Mar 2005 | May 2005 | 7 | 6.0% | +11.2% | +1340.5% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.7% | +51.8% | +1391.1% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 4.0% | +25.0% | +970.9% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 5 | 5.1% | +33.2% | +957.0% |
| Jan 2009 | Feb 2009 | 3 | 2.0% | +50.4% | +956.3% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 5 | 16.2% | +48.3% | +978.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 3 | 4.1% | +12.7% | +380.7% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +16.5% | +366.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 2.3% | +47.6% | +240.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 4.4% | +76.3% | +144.6% |
| Average | 13 | — | +41.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02