ORC
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Mortgage Investor Relations →
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) closed at $7.61 as of 2026-02-02, trading 20.4% above its 200-week moving average of $6.32. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 21.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 629 weeks of data, ORC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1395 million, ORC is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 15.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Share count has increased 133.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 12.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ORC would have grown to $92, compared to $476 for the S&P 500. ORC has returned -0.7% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: ORC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ORC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying ORC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.0% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +7.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -0.4% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ORC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ORC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2015 | Dec 2015 | 25 | 27.9% | +28.6% | -5.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 10.1% | +54.3% | -5.7% |
| Jan 2018 | Jul 2018 | 25 | 11.6% | -0.8% | -24.8% |
| Sep 2018 | Feb 2019 | 22 | 16.3% | -10.7% | -26.4% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2019 | 7 | 4.0% | -0.6% | -24.8% |
| Apr 2019 | Jul 2019 | 11 | 9.5% | -29.9% | -24.4% |
| Jul 2019 | Jan 2020 | 24 | 18.1% | -0.9% | -22.3% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 2 | 2.1% | +0.5% | -27.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 36 | 60.5% | +17.3% | -24.3% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 1.8% | -40.2% | -23.6% |
| Jan 2022 | Sep 2025 | 194 | 55.3% | -32.1% | -23.6% |
| Average | 32 | — | +-1.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02