ORA

Ormat Technologies, Inc. Utilities - Utilities - Renewable Investor Relations →

NO
51.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 64.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $84.29
14-Week RSI 66
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.68 — Sellers winning

Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) closed at $127.68 as of 2026-06-19, trading 51.5% above its 200-week moving average of $84.29. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 64.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.68 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.

Over the past 1079 weeks of data, ORA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ORA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.4%.

With a market cap of $7.8 billion, ORA is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 4.9%. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.

Share count has increased 8.5% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 20.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ORA would have grown to $717, compared to $910 for the S&P 500. ORA has returned 10.0% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: ORA vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ORA Crosses Below the Line?

Across 12 historical episodes, buying ORA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +1.8% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 42% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -17.3% vs +24.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ORA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. ORA currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.85σ
Current FCF Yield -2.50%
Baseline Yield -3.11%
Historical σ 0.26pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from ORA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -1.76σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -1.14σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -2.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +2.5pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (+0.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

ORA has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +1.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 2008May 20093136.0%+25.0%+359.4%
May 2009May 200912.1%-24.3%+295.9%
Jul 2009Jul 200913.2%-19.8%+293.0%
Aug 2009Sep 200936.6%-30.1%+279.6%
Sep 2009Sep 200911.1%-22.1%+275.3%
Oct 2009Nov 200927.0%-23.9%+278.6%
Dec 2009Aug 201319156.0%-24.4%+273.6%
Jul 2020Aug 202020.6%+18.0%+122.4%
Aug 2020Sep 202048.0%+20.9%+121.0%
Jan 2022Feb 202242.7%+41.3%+101.3%
Jul 2023Oct 20246320.9%-1.4%+68.8%
Dec 2024Jun 20252516.4%+57.2%+77.5%
Average27+1.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ORA below its 200-week moving average?

No. Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) is currently 51.5% above its 200-week moving average of $84.29. It would need to fall to $84.29 to cross below the line.

What is ORA's 200-week moving average price?

Ormat Technologies, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $84.29 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when ORA drops below its 200-week moving average?

ORA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.

Is ORA a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about ORA as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 4.9%. Price-to-book is 3.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does ORA compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 20.8 years, $100 invested in ORA would have grown to $717, compared to $910 for the S&P 500. That's 10.0% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. ORA has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does ORA pay a dividend?

Yes. Ormat Technologies, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 36.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19