ORA
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Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) closed at $97.34 as of 2026-09-18, trading 14.2% above its 200-week moving average of $85.25. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 11.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, ORA is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 2.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.30 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1092 weeks of data, ORA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ORA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +1.4%.
With a market cap of $6.0 billion, ORA is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 4.8%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Share count has increased 8.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 21 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ORA would have grown to $548, compared to $931 for the S&P 500. ORA has returned 8.4% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ORA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ORA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying ORA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +1.8% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 42% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -17.3% vs +24.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ORA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. ORA currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $0.26 | $0.50 | +92.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | $0.90 | $1.30 | +44.3% |
| 2026-02-25 | $0.64 | $0.67 | +4.7% |
| 2025-11-03 | $0.38 | $0.41 | +6.9% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ORA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ORA has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +1.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 31 | 36.0% | +25.0% | +250.6% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 1 | 2.0% | -24.4% | +201.6% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 3.2% | -19.8% | +200.0% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 3 | 6.6% | -30.1% | +189.7% |
| Sep 2009 | Sep 2009 | 1 | 1.1% | -22.1% | +186.5% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 2 | 7.0% | -23.9% | +189.0% |
| Dec 2009 | Aug 2013 | 191 | 56.0% | -24.4% | +185.1% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 2 | 0.7% | +18.0% | +69.8% |
| Aug 2020 | Sep 2020 | 4 | 8.0% | +20.9% | +68.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 4 | 2.7% | +41.3% | +53.7% |
| Jul 2023 | Oct 2024 | 63 | 20.9% | -1.4% | +28.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Jun 2025 | 25 | 16.4% | +57.2% | +35.5% |
| Average | 27 | — | +1.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) is currently 14.2% above its 200-week moving average of $85.25. It would need to fall to $85.25 to cross below the line.
What is ORA's 200-week moving average price?
Ormat Technologies, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $85.25 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ORA drops below its 200-week moving average?
ORA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +1.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is ORA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ORA as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 4.8%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ORA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21 years, $100 invested in ORA would have grown to $548, compared to $931 for the S&P 500. That's 8.4% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. ORA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ORA pay a dividend?
Yes. Ormat Technologies, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 49.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18