ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc. Technology - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Investor Relations →
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) closed at $208.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 58.7% above its 200-week moving average of $131.39. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 54.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 77, ONTO is in overbought territory.
Over the past 279 weeks of data, ONTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 6 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ONTO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +147.0%.
With a market cap of $10.4 billion, ONTO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.2%. Return on equity stands at 9.0%. The stock trades at 5.1x book value.
Over the past 5.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ONTO would have grown to $650, compared to $228 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 41.3% vs 16.4% for the index — confirming ONTO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 9.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: ONTO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ONTO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying ONTO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +147.0% after 12 months (median +147.0%), compared to +43.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +125.0% vs +22.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ONTO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ONTO has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +147.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3.8% | +147.0% | +550.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 13.7% | N/A | +99.6% |
| May 2025 | Sep 2025 | 20 | 27.5% | N/A | +135.6% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 3.0% | N/A | +71.8% |
| Average | 6 | — | +147.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02