ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc. Technology - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Investor Relations →
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) closed at $200.17 as of 2026-03-20, trading 47.9% above its 200-week moving average of $135.34. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 40.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 285 weeks of data, ONTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 6 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ONTO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +147.0%.
With a market cap of $9.9 billion, ONTO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at 6.8%. The stock trades at 4.7x book value.
Share count has increased 2.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 5.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ONTO would have grown to $624, compared to $214 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 39.5% vs 14.9% for the index — confirming ONTO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ONTO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ONTO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying ONTO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +119.5% after 12 months (median +147.0%), compared to +30.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +125.0% vs +22.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ONTO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ONTO has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +147.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 3.8% | +147.0% | +524.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 13.7% | N/A | +91.7% |
| May 2025 | Sep 2025 | 20 | 27.5% | N/A | +126.2% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 3.0% | N/A | +65.0% |
| Average | 6 | — | +147.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONTO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) is currently 47.9% above its 200-week moving average of $135.34. It would need to fall to $135.34 to cross below the line.
What is ONTO's 200-week moving average price?
Onto Innovation Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $135.34 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ONTO drops below its 200-week moving average?
ONTO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +147.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 6 weeks on average.
Is ONTO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ONTO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 64. Free cash flow yield is 2.4%. Return on equity is 6.8%. Price-to-book is 4.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ONTO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 5.5 years, $100 invested in ONTO would have grown to $624, compared to $214 for the S&P 500. That's 39.5% annualized vs 14.9% for the index. ONTO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20