ON

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YES
2.7% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -10.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $66.98
14-Week RSI 75

ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) closed at $65.20 as of 2026-02-02, trading 2.7% below its 200-week moving average of $66.98. This places ON in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -10.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, ON is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1296 weeks of data, ON has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ON at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.8%.

With a market cap of $26.7 billion, ON is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 3.9%. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.

Over the past 24.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ON would have grown to $1003, compared to $854 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 9.7% vs 9.0% for the index — confirming ON as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: ON vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ON Crosses Below the Line?

Across 27 historical episodes, buying ON when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.7% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +13.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 63% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +63.6% vs +29.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ON crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

ON has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +21.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 2001Nov 200313786.6%+4.9%+1302.2%
Apr 2004May 200411.7%-28.9%+1247.1%
Jun 2004Nov 20041928.2%+8.1%+1445.0%
Jan 2005Jan 200535.7%+70.1%+1706.1%
Apr 2005May 2005314.3%+117.2%+2016.9%
Feb 2008Apr 20081020.9%-22.9%+910.9%
Sep 2008Jul 20094264.0%+15.5%+828.8%
Jul 2009Aug 200910.9%-7.5%+793.2%
Sep 2009Oct 200910.1%-3.5%+770.5%
Oct 2009Nov 2009311.1%-0.1%+791.9%
Jan 2010Feb 201025.2%+51.6%+804.3%
May 2010Nov 20102621.1%+47.7%+756.8%
Aug 2011Oct 20111213.0%-11.9%+801.8%
Nov 2011Nov 201128.4%-21.6%+778.7%
Dec 2011Dec 201112.5%-6.4%+782.3%
May 2012Jan 20133824.7%+6.7%+772.8%
Feb 2013Mar 201310.9%+18.5%+727.4%
Apr 2013May 201389.3%+21.3%+731.6%
Jun 2013Jun 201312.8%+16.8%+733.8%
Jul 2013Dec 20132313.3%+17.2%+718.1%
Oct 2014Nov 2014510.4%+33.7%+771.7%
Jan 2016Feb 2016819.5%+52.5%+664.4%
Jun 2016Jul 201622.6%+59.9%+642.6%
Oct 2018Oct 201810.6%+31.2%+346.0%
Mar 2020Jun 20201340.6%+124.6%+277.3%
Nov 2024Nov 202411.5%-27.5%+0.7%
Dec 2024Ongoing61+49.9%Ongoing-1.2%
Average16+21.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02