OMF

OneMain Holdings, Inc. Financial Services - Credit Services Investor Relations →

NO
38.0% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 43.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $44.05
14-Week RSI 62
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.10

OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) closed at $60.81 as of 2026-09-18, trading 38.0% above its 200-week moving average of $44.05. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 43.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 626 weeks of data, OMF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OMF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.6%.

With a market cap of $7.0 billion, OMF is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 23.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.

Over the past 12.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OMF would have grown to $425, compared to $472 for the S&P 500. OMF has returned 12.7% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 9.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: OMF vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After OMF Crosses Below the Line?

Across 9 historical episodes, buying OMF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +57.3% after 12 months (median +50.0%), compared to +20.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +89.8% vs +45.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OMF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OMF would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.61σ
Current FCF Yield 46.20%
Baseline Yield 47.99%
Historical σ 1.84pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where OMF's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-30.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$57.63Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$59.88Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$62.32Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$64.97Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$67.84Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-29$1.26$1.31+3.9%
2026-05-01$1.86$1.95+4.9%
2026-02-05$1.54$1.59+3.3%
2025-10-31$1.60$1.90+18.5%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from OMF's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.81σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.40σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.7pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-4.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

OMF has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +42.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 2016Jan 201810342.3%-22.7%+351.7%
Jan 2018Apr 2018139.7%-5.0%+334.8%
May 2018Jun 201810.9%-7.2%+322.4%
Oct 2018Feb 20191928.7%+18.4%+327.6%
May 2019Jun 201910.8%-9.9%+354.9%
Mar 2020Jul 20201943.6%+248.2%+553.1%
Sep 2022Oct 2022511.2%+41.3%+175.1%
Dec 2022Jan 202320.7%+62.8%+149.8%
Mar 2023Mar 202310.3%+57.1%+139.9%
Average18+42.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is OMF below its 200-week moving average?

No. OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) is currently 38.0% above its 200-week moving average of $44.05. It would need to fall to $44.05 to cross below the line.

What is OMF's 200-week moving average price?

OneMain Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $44.05 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when OMF drops below its 200-week moving average?

OMF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +42.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.

Is OMF a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about OMF as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Return on equity is 23.3%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does OMF compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 12.1 years, $100 invested in OMF would have grown to $425, compared to $472 for the S&P 500. That's 12.7% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. OMF has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does OMF pay a dividend?

Yes. OneMain Holdings, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 691.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18