OMC
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Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) closed at $76.92 as of 2026-05-01, trading 1.2% below its 200-week moving average of $77.84. This places OMC in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -2.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.29 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, OMC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 41 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OMC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.6%.
With a market cap of $21.9 billion, OMC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 23.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 2.0%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 54.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OMC would have grown to $3015, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming OMC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 48.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OMC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OMC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying OMC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.7% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +7.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +24.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OMC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OMC has crossed below its 200-week MA 41 times with an average 1-year return of +17.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1981 | Oct 1981 | 30 | 13.5% | -7.8% | +10403.1% |
| Jan 1982 | Jun 1982 | 21 | 9.1% | +41.3% | +10569.9% |
| Jul 1982 | Aug 1982 | 5 | 5.9% | +74.6% | +10569.9% |
| Oct 1982 | Oct 1982 | 2 | 9.2% | +48.3% | +11489.7% |
| Jan 1984 | May 1984 | 16 | 13.0% | +22.5% | +10321.7% |
| Jun 1984 | Jun 1984 | 2 | 2.1% | +40.3% | +9236.1% |
| Jul 1984 | Jan 1985 | 26 | 21.2% | +53.7% | +9785.3% |
| Dec 1985 | Dec 1985 | 2 | 7.0% | +18.5% | +9108.2% |
| Jan 1986 | Feb 1986 | 7 | 5.5% | +22.6% | +8518.0% |
| Sep 1986 | Dec 1986 | 12 | 17.0% | +38.3% | +8518.0% |
| Dec 1986 | Dec 1986 | 2 | 1.8% | -8.2% | +8004.2% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1988 | 19 | 22.1% | +19.4% | +8558.2% |
| Mar 1988 | Apr 1988 | 3 | 1.0% | +5.7% | +7852.6% |
| May 1988 | Oct 1988 | 20 | 8.2% | +20.8% | +8059.2% |
| Nov 1988 | Jan 1989 | 9 | 3.4% | +26.9% | +7557.1% |
| Oct 1990 | Nov 1990 | 5 | 14.5% | +52.4% | +6995.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 5 | 15.8% | -1.7% | +367.5% |
| Jun 2002 | Aug 2003 | 64 | 42.8% | +0.9% | +283.1% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 5 | 5.9% | +0.7% | +278.7% |
| Jun 2004 | Oct 2004 | 17 | 10.7% | +10.9% | +269.5% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 2.1% | -36.7% | +205.7% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 2 | 1.4% | -44.2% | +201.9% |
| Jun 2008 | Apr 2010 | 93 | 47.4% | -25.7% | +203.2% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 15.2% | +24.1% | +220.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 2.9% | +45.0% | +230.3% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 4.3% | +43.7% | +223.4% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 4 | 2.0% | -2.7% | +43.5% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 5 | 9.6% | +7.1% | +51.9% |
| Jan 2018 | Jan 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +5.0% | +43.1% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 4 | 3.7% | +7.7% | +46.0% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 2 | 1.8% | +13.3% | +42.4% |
| Jul 2018 | Oct 2018 | 15 | 7.9% | +21.0% | +49.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 3.9% | +19.0% | +43.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 50 | 31.8% | +3.6% | +39.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 4.4% | +56.1% | +38.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.2% | +25.3% | +32.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 4.8% | +20.7% | +38.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Aug 2025 | 20 | 11.3% | +7.1% | +10.1% |
| Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | 13 | 8.4% | N/A | +1.6% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 3 | 11.3% | N/A | +0.8% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 4.6% | Ongoing | -0.1% |
| Average | 13 | — | +17.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) is trading 1.2% below its 200-week moving average of $77.84. The current price is $76.92.
What is OMC's 200-week moving average price?
Omnicom Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $77.84 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OMC drops below its 200-week moving average?
OMC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 41 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is OMC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OMC as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 23.1%. Return on equity is 2.0%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OMC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in OMC would have grown to $3015, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 10.8% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. OMC has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OMC pay a dividend?
Yes. Omnicom Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 416.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01