OLP

One Liberty Properties, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Diversified Investor Relations →

NO
12.8% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 14.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $20.25
14-Week RSI 40
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.5x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.21

One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) closed at $22.85 as of 2026-09-18, trading 12.8% above its 200-week moving average of $20.25. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 14.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.21 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2216 weeks of data, OLP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OLP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.9%.

With a market cap of $500 million, OLP is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 11.6%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.

Share count has increased 2.7% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OLP would have grown to $4643, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.0% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming OLP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -5.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: OLP vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After OLP Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying OLP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.9% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +6.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.9% vs +14.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OLP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OLP would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +1.78σ
Current FCF Yield 7.71%
Baseline Yield 6.96%
Historical σ 0.50pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where OLP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$22.54Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$24.08Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$25.84Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$27.89Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$30.29Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-08-05$0.67$0.71+6.0%
2026-05-06$0.26$0.28+7.7%
2026-03-05$0.18$0.10-44.4%
2025-11-06$0.26$0.56+116.3%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from OLP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -1.09σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.24σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -1.7pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-2.4pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

OLP has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +15.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1984Sep 1984239.1%+10.4%+4732.1%
Sep 1985Dec 1985123.4%+12.5%+4473.2%
Apr 1987Apr 198710.5%+16.3%+4238.7%
Sep 1987Feb 19882319.1%+25.6%+4196.2%
Mar 1989Apr 198922.4%-14.4%+3926.6%
Sep 1989Sep 199215651.6%-44.0%+4087.6%
Sep 1992Oct 199212.1%+56.3%+5094.2%
Feb 2000Feb 200031.7%+14.2%+1828.0%
Mar 2000Mar 200023.4%+20.5%+1806.5%
Oct 2000Dec 200063.2%+49.8%+1786.9%
Dec 2000Dec 200013.1%+59.9%+1781.1%
Jan 2008Aug 2008319.1%-39.3%+547.5%
Sep 2008Sep 200823.5%-32.7%+537.2%
Sep 2008Mar 20107582.9%-36.0%+542.3%
Mar 2020Dec 20203942.5%+41.4%+100.8%
Dec 2020Feb 202165.1%+86.3%+76.2%
Sep 2022Oct 202236.2%-4.5%+45.8%
Mar 2023Mar 202316.2%+17.6%+45.1%
May 2023Nov 20233013.2%+20.3%+40.3%
Jan 2024Feb 202412.1%+38.1%+38.0%
Feb 2024Mar 202421.3%+35.6%+35.9%
Oct 2025Dec 202593.8%N/A+18.3%
Dec 2025Dec 202510.7%N/A+17.7%
Average19+15.9%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is OLP below its 200-week moving average?

No. One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) is currently 12.8% above its 200-week moving average of $20.25. It would need to fall to $20.25 to cross below the line.

What is OLP's 200-week moving average price?

One Liberty Properties, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $20.25 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when OLP drops below its 200-week moving average?

OLP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.

Is OLP a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about OLP as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 8.8%. Return on equity is 11.6%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does OLP compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in OLP would have grown to $4643, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 12.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. OLP has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does OLP pay a dividend?

Yes. One Liberty Properties, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 788.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18