OLN
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Olin Corporation (OLN) closed at $28.61 as of 2026-05-01, trading 27.1% below its 200-week moving average of $39.22. This places OLN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -31.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2727 weeks of data, OLN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 48 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OLN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.0%.
With a market cap of $3.3 billion, OLN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -5.1%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OLN would have grown to $801, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. OLN has returned 6.4% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -47.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OLN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OLN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 29 historical episodes, buying OLN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.3% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +8.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +36.2% vs +16.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OLN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OLN has crossed below its 200-week MA 48 times with an average 1-year return of +19.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1974 | Mar 1974 | 4 | 0.9% | +19.1% | +5722.7% |
| Jul 1974 | Jul 1974 | 4 | 7.4% | +89.6% | +5722.7% |
| Dec 1974 | Jan 1975 | 5 | 3.7% | +99.1% | +5672.5% |
| Feb 1978 | Apr 1978 | 8 | 10.9% | +28.6% | +2889.3% |
| May 1978 | Aug 1978 | 12 | 13.6% | +21.4% | +2557.2% |
| Aug 1978 | Sep 1978 | 4 | 11.3% | +45.7% | +2495.4% |
| Nov 1978 | Nov 1978 | 1 | 1.7% | -0.7% | +2380.0% |
| Feb 1979 | Feb 1979 | 1 | 0.4% | +22.5% | +2257.8% |
| Oct 1979 | Feb 1980 | 18 | 12.9% | +8.2% | +2193.2% |
| Mar 1980 | Jun 1980 | 16 | 20.5% | +23.4% | +2209.0% |
| Jul 1980 | Jul 1980 | 1 | 0.7% | +20.9% | +2162.2% |
| Sep 1980 | Sep 1980 | 1 | 0.1% | +21.5% | +2147.0% |
| Oct 1980 | Nov 1980 | 1 | 1.5% | +25.2% | +2177.6% |
| Dec 1980 | Dec 1980 | 2 | 3.4% | +27.9% | +2177.6% |
| Feb 1982 | Apr 1982 | 9 | 6.1% | +33.8% | +1992.5% |
| May 1982 | Sep 1982 | 18 | 21.7% | +54.0% | +1979.5% |
| Sep 1982 | Oct 1982 | 1 | 0.6% | +56.8% | +1966.7% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 6 | 5.8% | +35.8% | +1019.3% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1991 | 28 | 38.8% | +17.4% | +696.7% |
| Mar 1991 | May 1991 | 7 | 10.2% | +21.9% | +722.8% |
| Oct 1991 | Jan 1992 | 14 | 17.9% | -5.6% | +679.0% |
| Jun 1992 | Dec 1992 | 28 | 15.6% | +5.4% | +648.8% |
| Jan 1993 | Feb 1993 | 6 | 8.0% | +22.5% | +652.0% |
| Apr 1993 | May 1993 | 1 | 0.8% | +24.5% | +644.4% |
| Aug 1993 | Sep 1993 | 6 | 1.8% | +44.0% | +658.6% |
| Aug 1998 | Dec 2000 | 122 | 55.0% | -38.1% | +275.1% |
| Jan 2001 | Feb 2001 | 3 | 3.7% | -12.8% | +294.8% |
| Apr 2001 | Apr 2001 | 1 | 2.1% | +0.2% | +294.1% |
| Jun 2001 | Feb 2002 | 34 | 24.6% | +28.9% | +321.2% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 2 | 1.2% | +15.2% | +333.9% |
| Oct 2002 | Dec 2002 | 9 | 7.0% | +22.7% | +346.4% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 0.1% | +19.7% | +321.0% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 3 | 2.0% | +20.7% | +285.8% |
| Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 1 | 0.4% | +17.1% | +278.8% |
| Jun 2006 | Jun 2006 | 3 | 1.3% | +22.8% | +232.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Oct 2006 | 13 | 14.9% | +39.1% | +237.9% |
| Oct 2006 | Apr 2007 | 26 | 5.9% | +40.7% | +232.2% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 5.8% | +6.7% | +218.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 50 | 47.3% | +2.9% | +203.6% |
| Sep 2009 | Nov 2009 | 7 | 9.5% | +28.8% | +195.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 4 | 4.1% | +23.7% | +189.5% |
| Jul 2015 | May 2016 | 44 | 42.2% | -5.2% | +73.4% |
| Jul 2016 | Nov 2016 | 16 | 15.7% | +56.3% | +82.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 19 | 25.5% | -25.1% | +43.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 8.7% | -43.6% | +45.3% |
| Apr 2019 | Nov 2020 | 84 | 56.8% | -41.2% | +43.1% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 2.6% | -50.8% | -34.0% |
| Jul 2024 | Ongoing | 93+ | 60.1% | Ongoing | -32.4% |
| Average | 16 | — | +19.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OLN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Olin Corporation (OLN) is trading 27.1% below its 200-week moving average of $39.22. The current price is $28.61.
What is OLN's 200-week moving average price?
Olin Corporation's 200-week moving average is $39.22 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OLN drops below its 200-week moving average?
OLN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 48 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is OLN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OLN as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 11.4%. Return on equity is -5.1%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OLN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in OLN would have grown to $801, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 6.4% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. OLN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OLN pay a dividend?
Yes. Olin Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 280.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01