OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Discount Retail Investor Relations →
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) closed at $112.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 32.3% above its 200-week moving average of $85.02. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 503 weeks of data, OLLI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 37 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OLLI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +44.1%.
With a market cap of $6.9 billion, OLLI is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.2%. Return on equity stands at 13.0%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OLLI would have grown to $453, compared to $387 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.8% vs 14.9% for the index — confirming OLLI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 120% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: OLLI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OLLI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying OLLI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.3% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +10.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +12.7% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OLLI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OLLI has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +44.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2020 | Apr 2020 | 13 | 32.2% | +83.9% | +110.9% |
| Aug 2021 | Jul 2023 | 98 | 49.1% | -15.7% | +55.1% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 1 | 1.2% | +64.0% | +63.6% |
| Average | 37 | — | +44.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02