OKTA
Okta Inc. Technology - Identity Management Investor Relations →
Okta Inc. (OKTA) closed at $86.74 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.3% above its 200-week moving average of $85.66. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -1.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 413 weeks of data, OKTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 49 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -46.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $15.4 billion, OKTA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 3.0%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Share count has increased 10.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OKTA would have grown to $218, compared to $297 for the S&P 500. OKTA has returned 10.2% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 103.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: OKTA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OKTA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying OKTA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -46.0% after 12 months (median -46.0%), compared to -8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -32.0% vs +20.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OKTA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OKTA has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-46.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2022 | Apr 2025 | 165 | 72.8% | -46.0% | -45.2% |
| May 2025 | Dec 2025 | 28 | 12.5% | N/A | -15.9% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 1 | 4.1% | N/A | +3.7% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 1.7% | Ongoing | +2.7% |
| Average | 49 | — | +-46.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02