OHI
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Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) closed at $50.63 as of 2026-07-31, trading 55.0% above its 200-week moving average of $32.67. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 59.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1725 weeks of data, OHI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OHI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.8%.
With a market cap of $16.0 billion, OHI is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.5%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Share count has increased 26.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OHI would have grown to $2627, compared to $3000 for the S&P 500. OHI has returned 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,356,974.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 12% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OHI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OHI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying OHI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.4% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +20.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 89% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.9% vs +35.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OHI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OHI would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where OHI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $43.12 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $44.59 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $46.17 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $47.86 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $49.68 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OHI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OHI has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +23.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 10 | 15.9% | -71.3% | +1318.5% |
| Jun 1999 | Jul 2003 | 211 | 90.4% | -80.1% | +1182.4% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 1 | 18.4% | +80.7% | +1622.8% |
| Jan 2009 | Jan 2009 | 1 | 0.4% | +61.6% | +1291.8% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 4 | 10.5% | +55.6% | +1278.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 1.3% | +65.0% | +862.1% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 2 | 3.0% | +54.5% | +855.4% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.4% | +19.5% | +304.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Dec 2016 | 8 | 6.4% | +5.1% | +269.3% |
| Oct 2017 | May 2018 | 29 | 13.3% | +26.6% | +251.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 24.4% | +54.2% | +215.6% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 4 | 10.0% | +53.9% | +211.7% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 1.4% | +38.4% | +183.2% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2021 | 1 | 2.0% | +9.4% | +151.0% |
| Oct 2021 | Jan 2022 | 10 | 7.4% | +20.6% | +152.3% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 7 | 7.9% | +15.5% | +159.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 14 | 12.8% | +4.5% | +147.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 6 | 3.2% | +17.6% | +130.7% |
| Feb 2023 | May 2023 | 12 | 6.9% | +20.2% | +129.4% |
| Average | 17 | — | +23.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OHI below its 200-week moving average?
No. Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. (OHI) is currently 55.0% above its 200-week moving average of $32.67. It would need to fall to $32.67 to cross below the line.
What is OHI's 200-week moving average price?
Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $32.67 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OHI drops below its 200-week moving average?
OHI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is OHI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OHI as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Return on equity is 16.5%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OHI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.1 years, $100 invested in OHI would have grown to $2627, compared to $3000 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. OHI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OHI pay a dividend?
Yes. Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 540.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31