OGE
OGE Energy Corp. Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Electric Investor Relations →
OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) closed at $45.51 as of 2026-09-18, trading 19.5% above its 200-week moving average of $38.07. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 22.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2747 weeks of data, OGE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought OGE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.6%.
With a market cap of $9.4 billion, OGE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.4%. Return on equity stands at 9.7%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Share count has increased 3.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OGE would have grown to $2613, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. OGE has returned 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $500,067.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: OGE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OGE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying OGE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.2% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +7.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.8% vs +20.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OGE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices OGE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where OGE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $45.46 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $46.70 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $48.01 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $49.39 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $50.86 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | $0.55 | $0.56 | +1.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.25 | $0.24 | -2.3% |
| 2026-02-18 | $0.32 | $0.33 | +3.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | $1.14 | $1.14 | -0.4% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from OGE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
OGE has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +9.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Feb 1975 | 55 | 29.2% | -7.4% | +6263.5% |
| Mar 1975 | Jun 1975 | 11 | 15.4% | -7.2% | +6606.5% |
| Jul 1975 | Oct 1975 | 12 | 14.6% | -15.3% | +6488.1% |
| Dec 1975 | Dec 1975 | 1 | 1.5% | -10.8% | +6606.5% |
| Feb 1976 | Feb 1982 | 313 | 33.3% | -9.9% | +6813.5% |
| May 1992 | Jun 1992 | 1 | 3.4% | +21.5% | +2971.3% |
| Aug 1992 | Sep 1992 | 1 | 0.7% | +27.3% | +2829.0% |
| May 1994 | Jul 1994 | 11 | 7.1% | +19.1% | +2561.2% |
| Nov 1999 | Aug 2000 | 37 | 19.7% | +9.9% | +1271.0% |
| Aug 2000 | Aug 2000 | 1 | 0.5% | +12.2% | +1229.5% |
| Oct 2000 | Nov 2000 | 7 | 5.6% | +19.9% | +1252.4% |
| Jul 2002 | May 2003 | 43 | 25.7% | +15.2% | +1146.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Jul 2009 | 42 | 31.0% | +14.4% | +507.7% |
| Jun 2015 | May 2016 | 49 | 18.7% | +7.1% | +141.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 2 | 2.4% | +24.5% | +131.1% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 0.2% | +21.5% | +125.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2021 | 59 | 25.9% | +0.9% | +83.1% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | +9.5% | +70.6% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 2 | 1.4% | +15.4% | +70.7% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | +5.8% | +57.9% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.2% | +29.0% | +56.0% |
| Average | 31 | — | +9.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGE below its 200-week moving average?
No. OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) is currently 19.5% above its 200-week moving average of $38.07. It would need to fall to $38.07 to cross below the line.
What is OGE's 200-week moving average price?
OGE Energy Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $38.07 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when OGE drops below its 200-week moving average?
OGE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is OGE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about OGE as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 1.4%. Return on equity is 9.7%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does OGE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in OGE would have grown to $2613, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. OGE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does OGE pay a dividend?
Yes. OGE Energy Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 367.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18