ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Industrials - Trucking Investor Relations →
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) closed at $202.47 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.1% above its 200-week moving average of $169.96. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 2.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 85, ODFL is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1741 weeks of data, ODFL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ODFL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.2%.
With a market cap of $42.6 billion, ODFL is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 23.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ODFL would have grown to $24292, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.0% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming ODFL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 10.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: ODFL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ODFL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying ODFL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.1% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +7.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.1% vs +23.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ODFL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ODFL has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +28.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 3.1% | +19.4% | +30852.6% |
| May 1993 | Jul 1993 | 11 | 10.5% | +39.1% | +29885.3% |
| Jan 1994 | Feb 1994 | 2 | 4.9% | +2.2% | +27712.5% |
| Feb 1994 | Apr 1994 | 6 | 6.2% | +2.9% | +27712.5% |
| Nov 1994 | Jun 1997 | 137 | 53.0% | -28.0% | +28976.7% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 7 | 21.1% | +13.2% | +36108.7% |
| Oct 1998 | Jul 1999 | 36 | 17.2% | +0.5% | +38281.2% |
| Oct 1999 | Nov 2001 | 112 | 33.0% | -18.6% | +39468.3% |
| Dec 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 3.2% | +132.7% | +41081.6% |
| Sep 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 0.7% | +20.4% | +5830.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Jan 2008 | 14 | 15.8% | +16.8% | +6283.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 27 | 30.2% | +27.1% | +5982.7% |
| May 2009 | May 2009 | 1 | 4.8% | +33.2% | +5274.4% |
| Oct 2009 | Dec 2009 | 7 | 14.4% | +44.7% | +5107.1% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 5 | 8.4% | +75.3% | +4901.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 2 | 1.8% | +69.7% | +1115.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Jan 2026 | 43 | 21.9% | N/A | +25.3% |
| Average | 24 | — | +28.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02