OCUL
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (OCUL) closed at $9.16 as of 2026-02-02, trading 33.7% above its 200-week moving average of $6.85. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 33.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 554 weeks of data, OCUL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 77 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -19.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1994 million, OCUL is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -54.9%. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.
Share count has increased 179.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 10.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in OCUL would have grown to $46, compared to $402 for the S&P 500. OCUL has returned -7.1% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: OCUL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After OCUL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying OCUL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -18.0% after 12 months (median -47.0%), compared to +5.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -55.7% vs +15.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment OCUL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
OCUL has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +-19.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2015 | Jul 2015 | 2 | 11.3% | -75.7% | -54.5% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2020 | 248 | 73.9% | -69.5% | -56.8% |
| Oct 2021 | Feb 2024 | 122 | 73.4% | -46.7% | +32.6% |
| Apr 2024 | Jul 2024 | 12 | 40.2% | +40.0% | +75.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | +53.2% | +17.7% |
| Average | 77 | — | +-19.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02