NXTC
NextCure, Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
NextCure, Inc. (NXTC) closed at $11.10 as of 2026-02-02, trading 42.7% below its 200-week moving average of $19.39. This places NXTC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -44.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 304 weeks of data, NXTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 150 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -73.9%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $39 million, NXTC is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -116.9%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 5.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NXTC would have grown to $3, compared to $258 for the S&P 500. NXTC has returned -45.5% annualized vs 17.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: NXTC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NXTC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 2 historical episodes, buying NXTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -75.0% after 12 months (median -74.0%), compared to +43.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -87.5% vs +43.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NXTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NXTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-73.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 3.6% | -73.9% | -97.2% |
| May 2020 | Ongoing | 299+ | 92.2% | Ongoing | -97.2% |
| Average | 150 | — | +-73.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02