NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Residential Investor Relations →
NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. (NXRT) closed at $30.41 as of 2026-02-02, trading 18.1% below its 200-week moving average of $37.13. This places NXRT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -19.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 520 weeks of data, NXRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 47 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NXRT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +52.0%.
With a market cap of $1564 million, NXRT is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -12.5%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 10.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NXRT would have grown to $366, compared to $421 for the S&P 500. NXRT has returned 13.7% annualized vs 15.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 0.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: NXRT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NXRT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying NXRT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.8% after 12 months (median +109.0%), compared to +33.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +115.5% vs +61.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NXRT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NXRT has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +52.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | 5 | 9.1% | +113.2% | +280.3% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 26.1% | +72.3% | +41.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 18 | 18.3% | -29.4% | -26.4% |
| Feb 2023 | Ongoing | 156+ | 44.7% | Ongoing | -27.0% |
| Average | 47 | — | +52.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02