NX
Quanex Building Products Corporation Industrials - Building Products & Equipment Investor Relations →
Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) closed at $17.00 as of 2026-06-19, trading 26.3% below its 200-week moving average of $23.06. This places NX in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -26.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.76 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, NX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 45 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.5%.
With a market cap of $781 million, NX is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -29.7%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 37.9% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NX would have grown to $1262, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. NX has returned 7.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 41 historical episodes, buying NX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.5% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +13.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.0% vs +30.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-09-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $14.61 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $17.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $20.81 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $26.42 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $36.15 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NX has crossed below its 200-week MA 45 times with an average 1-year return of +30.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1982 | Aug 1987 | 293 | 62.1% | -56.8% | +1375.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1988 | 16 | 37.5% | +110.8% | +4123.4% |
| Sep 1990 | Nov 1990 | 7 | 18.6% | +85.2% | +2202.3% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 0.6% | +109.0% | +2060.1% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 5.1% | +31.5% | +1419.2% |
| Feb 1993 | Mar 1993 | 1 | 4.4% | +23.8% | +1373.7% |
| Mar 1993 | Jul 1993 | 15 | 15.2% | +32.0% | +1431.9% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 5 | 1.8% | +29.6% | +1305.7% |
| Dec 1993 | Jan 1994 | 3 | 3.6% | +35.5% | +1295.3% |
| Oct 1995 | Jan 1996 | 13 | 9.7% | +48.1% | +1075.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Apr 1999 | 35 | 33.4% | +18.0% | +833.2% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 2.3% | -17.6% | +764.7% |
| Oct 1999 | Dec 1999 | 11 | 18.3% | -21.4% | +773.5% |
| Jan 2000 | May 2001 | 71 | 37.9% | -21.8% | +739.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 2.2% | +79.6% | +807.5% |
| Apr 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 54.8% | +129.8% | +353.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 38 | 52.2% | +59.8% | +104.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 28.9% | +39.6% | +61.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 2 | 11.7% | +30.6% | +40.6% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 12.5% | +62.9% | +59.1% |
| Mar 2013 | Apr 2013 | 6 | 5.5% | +26.7% | +24.1% |
| Jun 2013 | Jul 2013 | 3 | 1.1% | +7.4% | +19.1% |
| Jul 2013 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 5.5% | +9.8% | +24.7% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 2 | 3.0% | +7.4% | +17.9% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 0.2% | +6.9% | +16.4% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2.4% | +18.5% | +16.8% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 2.2% | +19.3% | +16.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 4.4% | +13.9% | +14.2% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 2.2% | +1.2% | +10.1% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 2.8% | +20.3% | +10.6% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 13 | 10.4% | +13.4% | +7.9% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 3.3% | +11.3% | +7.7% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +14.2% | +6.8% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 10 | 14.8% | +14.9% | +10.5% |
| Feb 2018 | Sep 2018 | 30 | 14.0% | -13.2% | +1.8% |
| Sep 2018 | Jun 2019 | 40 | 30.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 1.7% | -18.6% | +6.1% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 9.3% | -9.3% | +7.1% |
| Dec 2019 | Feb 2020 | 7 | 6.9% | +28.5% | +4.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 27 | 53.5% | +47.9% | +11.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 5.2% | +49.8% | -4.1% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 2.9% | +86.1% | -8.5% |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 2023 | 1 | 1.4% | +95.1% | -10.3% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 3 | 5.3% | +78.9% | -6.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 79+ | 49.7% | Ongoing | -30.2% |
| Average | 17 | — | +30.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) is trading 26.3% below its 200-week moving average of $23.06. The current price is $17.00.
What is NX's 200-week moving average price?
Quanex Building Products Corporation's 200-week moving average is $23.06 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NX drops below its 200-week moving average?
NX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 45 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +30.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is NX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NX as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow yield is 10.6%. Return on equity is -29.7%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in NX would have grown to $1262, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 7.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. NX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19