NX
Quanex Building Products Corporation Industrials - Building Products & Equipment Investor Relations →
Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) closed at $20.09 as of 2026-09-18, trading 12.5% below its 200-week moving average of $22.96. This places NX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.13 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, NX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 43 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.7%.
With a market cap of $921 million, NX is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 6.2%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 37.9% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NX would have grown to $1497, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. NX has returned 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 39 historical episodes, buying NX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.7% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.8% vs +32.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-07-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.68 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $15.31 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $17.39 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $20.12 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $23.86 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | $0.66 | $0.79 | +20.1% |
| 2026-06-04 | $0.20 | $0.25 | +23.5% |
| 2026-03-05 | $-0.06 | $-0.01 | +82.6% |
| 2025-12-11 | $0.52 | $0.83 | +61.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NX has crossed below its 200-week MA 43 times with an average 1-year return of +28.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1982 | Aug 1987 | 293 | 62.1% | -56.8% | +1650.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1988 | 16 | 37.5% | +110.8% | +4910.2% |
| Sep 1990 | Nov 1990 | 7 | 18.6% | +85.2% | +2631.2% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 0.6% | +109.0% | +2462.5% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 1 | 5.2% | +31.5% | +1702.2% |
| Feb 1993 | Mar 1993 | 1 | 4.4% | +23.8% | +1648.2% |
| Mar 1993 | Jul 1993 | 15 | 15.3% | +32.0% | +1717.3% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 5 | 1.8% | +29.6% | +1567.6% |
| Dec 1993 | Jan 1994 | 3 | 3.7% | +35.3% | +1542.7% |
| Oct 1995 | Jan 1996 | 13 | 9.7% | +48.1% | +1294.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Apr 1999 | 35 | 33.4% | +18.0% | +1007.0% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 2.4% | -17.6% | +925.8% |
| Oct 1999 | Dec 1999 | 11 | 18.4% | -21.4% | +936.2% |
| Jan 2000 | May 2001 | 71 | 37.5% | -21.8% | +896.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 2.2% | +79.6% | +976.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 38 | 52.5% | +59.8% | +142.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 29.2% | +39.6% | +91.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 2 | 12.1% | +30.6% | +66.8% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 12.9% | +63.2% | +88.7% |
| Mar 2013 | Apr 2013 | 6 | 5.6% | +26.7% | +47.2% |
| Jun 2013 | Jul 2013 | 3 | 1.1% | +7.4% | +41.3% |
| Jul 2013 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 5.5% | +9.8% | +47.9% |
| Aug 2013 | Sep 2013 | 2 | 3.0% | +7.4% | +39.9% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 2.4% | +18.5% | +38.6% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 2.2% | +19.3% | +38.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 4.4% | +13.9% | +35.4% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 1 | 2.2% | +1.2% | +30.6% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 2.6% | +20.0% | +30.9% |
| Jan 2016 | Apr 2016 | 13 | 10.4% | +13.4% | +28.0% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 3.3% | +11.3% | +27.8% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +14.2% | +26.7% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 10 | 14.8% | +14.9% | +31.0% |
| Feb 2018 | Sep 2018 | 30 | 14.0% | -13.2% | +20.8% |
| Sep 2018 | Jun 2019 | 40 | 30.2% | +2.0% | +23.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 1.7% | -18.6% | +25.8% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 9.3% | -9.3% | +27.0% |
| Dec 2019 | Feb 2020 | 7 | 6.9% | +28.9% | +24.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 27 | 53.3% | +47.9% | +32.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 5.2% | +49.8% | +13.8% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 2.5% | +85.8% | +8.1% |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 2023 | 1 | 1.4% | +95.1% | +6.4% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 3 | 5.4% | +78.9% | +10.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 92+ | 49.8% | Ongoing | -17.4% |
| Average | 18 | — | +28.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) is trading 12.5% below its 200-week moving average of $22.96. The current price is $20.09.
What is NX's 200-week moving average price?
Quanex Building Products Corporation's 200-week moving average is $22.96 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NX drops below its 200-week moving average?
NX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 43 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is NX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NX as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 7.2%. Return on equity is 6.2%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in NX would have grown to $1497, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. NX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NX pay a dividend?
Yes. Quanex Building Products Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 159.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18