NWS
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News Corporation (NWS) closed at $32.68 as of 2026-09-18, trading 22.7% above its 200-week moving average of $26.64. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 2.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.70 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 643 weeks of data, NWS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NWS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.6%.
With a market cap of $17.5 billion, NWS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 8.0%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
Over the past 12.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NWS would have grown to $225, compared to $487 for the S&P 500. NWS has returned 6.8% annualized vs 13.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NWS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NWS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying NWS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.5% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +16.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.8% vs +34.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NWS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NWS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NWS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $29.41 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $30.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $31.68 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $32.95 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.32 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $0.23 | $0.35 | +51.2% |
| 2026-05-07 | $0.20 | $0.21 | +5.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | $0.37 | $0.40 | +6.9% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.19 | $0.22 | +16.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NWS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NWS has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +18.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2014 | Jun 2014 | 3 | 1.4% | -9.9% | +125.0% |
| Aug 2014 | Aug 2014 | 2 | 1.0% | -17.4% | +122.9% |
| Sep 2014 | Feb 2015 | 23 | 15.3% | -21.7% | +122.4% |
| Mar 2015 | Jul 2017 | 124 | 27.8% | -28.0% | +127.5% |
| Aug 2017 | Oct 2017 | 12 | 5.9% | -1.2% | +162.2% |
| Aug 2018 | Nov 2018 | 13 | 6.9% | +6.2% | +165.5% |
| Nov 2018 | Jun 2019 | 30 | 18.0% | +1.6% | +173.4% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.9% | -2.5% | +164.4% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 4 | 3.0% | +16.3% | +164.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 38.3% | +87.2% | +180.8% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 2.5% | +74.8% | +163.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 4.4% | +27.4% | +115.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 7.5% | +31.4% | +115.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 7.2% | +70.9% | +108.4% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 3 | 1.3% | +43.3% | +92.1% |
| Average | 17 | — | +18.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWS below its 200-week moving average?
No. News Corporation (NWS) is currently 22.7% above its 200-week moving average of $26.64. It would need to fall to $26.64 to cross below the line.
What is NWS's 200-week moving average price?
News Corporation's 200-week moving average is $26.64 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NWS drops below its 200-week moving average?
NWS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is NWS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NWS as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow yield is 6.0%. Return on equity is 8.0%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NWS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.4 years, $100 invested in NWS would have grown to $225, compared to $487 for the S&P 500. That's 6.8% annualized vs 13.6% for the index. NWS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NWS pay a dividend?
Yes. News Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 61.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18