NWS
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News Corporation (NWS) closed at $28.75 as of 2026-06-19, trading 11.9% above its 200-week moving average of $25.70. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 14.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.8x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 630 weeks of data, NWS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NWS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.6%.
With a market cap of $15.6 billion, NWS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 6.5%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 12.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NWS would have grown to $197, compared to $476 for the S&P 500. NWS has returned 5.7% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $765,539,590.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NWS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NWS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying NWS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.5% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +16.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.8% vs +34.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NWS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NWS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NWS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $22.79 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $24.90 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $27.44 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $30.55 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $34.46 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NWS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NWS has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +18.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2014 | Jun 2014 | 3 | 1.4% | -9.9% | +97.4% |
| Aug 2014 | Aug 2014 | 2 | 1.0% | -17.4% | +95.5% |
| Sep 2014 | Feb 2015 | 23 | 15.3% | -21.7% | +95.0% |
| Mar 2015 | Jul 2017 | 124 | 27.8% | -28.0% | +99.6% |
| Aug 2017 | Oct 2017 | 12 | 5.9% | -1.2% | +130.0% |
| Aug 2018 | Nov 2018 | 13 | 7.6% | +6.2% | +132.8% |
| Nov 2018 | Jun 2019 | 30 | 17.9% | +1.6% | +139.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 0.9% | -2.5% | +131.9% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 4 | 3.0% | +16.3% | +131.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 38.3% | +87.2% | +146.3% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 2.5% | +74.8% | +131.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 4.4% | +27.4% | +89.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 7.5% | +31.4% | +88.7% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 7.8% | +70.9% | +82.8% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 3 | 1.3% | +43.3% | +68.5% |
| Average | 17 | — | +18.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWS below its 200-week moving average?
No. News Corporation (NWS) is currently 11.9% above its 200-week moving average of $25.70. It would need to fall to $25.70 to cross below the line.
What is NWS's 200-week moving average price?
News Corporation's 200-week moving average is $25.70 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NWS drops below its 200-week moving average?
NWS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is NWS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NWS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 11.2%. Return on equity is 6.5%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NWS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.2 years, $100 invested in NWS would have grown to $197, compared to $476 for the S&P 500. That's 5.7% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. NWS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NWS pay a dividend?
Yes. News Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 68.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19