NWL

Newell Brands Inc. Consumer Defensive - Household & Personal Products Investor Relations →

YES
32.0% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -32.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $7.23
14-Week RSI 60
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.7x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.11

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) closed at $4.92 as of 2026-06-19, trading 32.0% below its 200-week moving average of $7.23. This places NWL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -32.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.11 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2365 weeks of data, NWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 45 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NWL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.5%.

With a market cap of $2.1 billion, NWL is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 20.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -11.2%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NWL would have grown to $73, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. NWL has returned -0.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: NWL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NWL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying NWL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -10.0% after 12 months (median -14.0%), compared to +10.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +8.6% vs +27.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NWL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NWL would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.04σ
Current FCF Yield 1.20%
Baseline Yield 1.34%
Historical σ 0.12pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where NWL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-31.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$3.09Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$3.39Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$3.74Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$4.17Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$4.72Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from NWL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.03σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +1.14σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +16.3pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-0.7pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

NWL has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +28.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 1982Mar 198211.1%+161.7%+1807.6%
May 1982Aug 1982114.8%+235.8%+1825.6%
Nov 1987Dec 198716.4%+150.8%+464.9%
Jun 1993Aug 199353.0%+45.4%-13.5%
Aug 1999Feb 200213047.2%-18.7%-63.1%
Jul 2002Jul 200225.4%+4.5%-60.0%
Jan 2003Feb 200310.3%-9.3%-60.5%
Mar 2003Mar 200326.6%+3.8%-57.3%
Jul 2003Feb 20042917.6%-3.1%-53.1%
Mar 2004Feb 200610023.1%-8.8%-57.6%
Dec 2007Sep 201014278.1%-53.7%-61.1%
Nov 2010Nov 201042.0%-7.5%-51.3%
May 2011Jun 201149.2%+19.9%-43.8%
Jul 2011Oct 20111524.8%+17.6%-45.3%
Nov 2011Nov 201114.0%+53.0%-41.3%
Oct 2017Jan 202116861.0%-56.5%-81.6%
Jun 2022Jun 202212.0%-50.4%-66.9%
Aug 2022Ongoing199+68.1%Ongoing-65.8%
Average45+28.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NWL below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) is trading 32.0% below its 200-week moving average of $7.23. The current price is $4.92.

What is NWL's 200-week moving average price?

Newell Brands Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $7.23 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when NWL drops below its 200-week moving average?

NWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 45 weeks on average.

Is NWL a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about NWL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 20.7%. Return on equity is -11.2%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does NWL compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in NWL would have grown to $73, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's -0.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. NWL has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does NWL pay a dividend?

Yes. Newell Brands Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 591.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19