NWL
Newell Brands Inc. Consumer Defensive - Household & Personal Products Investor Relations →
Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) closed at $4.63 as of 2026-02-02, trading 47.1% below its 200-week moving average of $8.76. This places NWL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -51.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 77, NWL is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, NWL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 44 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NWL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.5%.
With a market cap of $1941 million, NWL is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 19.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -11.1%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 2.2% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NWL would have grown to $66, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. NWL has returned -1.2% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -26.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: NWL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NWL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying NWL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -10.0% after 12 months (median -14.0%), compared to +10.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +8.6% vs +27.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NWL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NWL has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +28.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 1 | 1.1% | +161.7% | +1633.3% |
| May 1982 | Aug 1982 | 11 | 4.8% | +235.8% | +1649.7% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 6.4% | +150.8% | +413.3% |
| Jun 1993 | Aug 1993 | 5 | 3.0% | +45.4% | -21.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Feb 2002 | 130 | 47.2% | -18.7% | -66.5% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 2 | 5.4% | +4.5% | -63.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 0.3% | -9.3% | -64.2% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 2 | 6.6% | +3.8% | -61.2% |
| Jul 2003 | Feb 2004 | 29 | 17.6% | -3.1% | -57.4% |
| Mar 2004 | Feb 2006 | 100 | 23.1% | -8.8% | -61.5% |
| Dec 2007 | Sep 2010 | 142 | 78.1% | -53.7% | -64.7% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 4 | 2.0% | -7.5% | -55.8% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 4 | 9.2% | +19.9% | -48.9% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 15 | 24.8% | +17.6% | -50.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.0% | +53.0% | -46.7% |
| Oct 2017 | Jan 2021 | 168 | 61.0% | -56.5% | -83.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 2.0% | -50.4% | -70.0% |
| Aug 2022 | Ongoing | 180+ | 68.1% | Ongoing | -68.9% |
| Average | 44 | — | +28.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02