NWBI

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
10.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 11.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $11.05
14-Week RSI 44
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 3.7x — Surging
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.82

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) closed at $12.21 as of 2026-03-20, trading 10.5% above its 200-week moving average of $11.05. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 11.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.

A big spike in selling this week — 3.7x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.

Over the past 1588 weeks of data, NWBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NWBI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.8%.

With a market cap of $1784 million, NWBI is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.2%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.

Share count has increased 15.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 30.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NWBI would have grown to $1496, compared to $1889 for the S&P 500. NWBI has returned 9.3% annualized vs 10.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: NWBI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NWBI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying NWBI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.2% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +4.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.5% vs +9.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NWBI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

NWBI has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +7.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 1999Feb 199922.6%-8.1%+907.5%
Apr 1999May 199943.9%-22.3%+913.0%
Jun 1999Jun 199910.4%-11.1%+853.6%
Jul 1999Dec 20007231.9%-27.4%+840.8%
Dec 2000Jan 200129.6%+29.1%+856.0%
Jan 2001May 20011711.5%+20.6%+811.0%
May 2001Jun 200141.5%+50.8%+750.9%
Jul 2001Jul 200111.6%+31.1%+754.3%
Oct 2001Oct 200110.0%+43.9%+759.6%
Jun 2008Jul 200879.5%-12.4%+202.4%
Nov 2008Sep 20094341.6%-3.2%+201.5%
Sep 2009Oct 200910.7%+15.3%+194.8%
Oct 2009Nov 200946.4%+20.1%+204.1%
Feb 2020Feb 20215139.9%+9.0%+29.1%
Jun 2021Jun 202111.1%-3.9%+22.3%
Jul 2021Sep 2021125.8%+0.7%+21.7%
Apr 2022Apr 202210.1%-5.2%+21.0%
Apr 2022Jun 202285.1%-2.3%+24.5%
Jul 2022Jul 202210.2%-6.7%+22.5%
Mar 2023Jul 20231712.4%+3.9%+23.8%
Aug 2023Nov 20231514.4%+23.9%+25.7%
Mar 2024May 202484.2%+17.1%+25.3%
May 2024Jul 202474.3%+16.5%+22.8%
Mar 2025Apr 202534.0%N/A+16.6%
Average12+7.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NWBI below its 200-week moving average?

No. Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) is currently 10.5% above its 200-week moving average of $11.05. It would need to fall to $11.05 to cross below the line.

What is NWBI's 200-week moving average price?

Northwest Bancshares, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.05 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when NWBI drops below its 200-week moving average?

NWBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.

Is NWBI a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about NWBI as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Return on equity is 7.2%. Price-to-book is 0.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does NWBI compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 30.5 years, $100 invested in NWBI would have grown to $1496, compared to $1889 for the S&P 500. That's 9.3% annualized vs 10.1% for the index. NWBI has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does NWBI pay a dividend?

Yes. Northwest Bancshares, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 655.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-03-20