NWBI

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
21.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 15.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $10.97
14-Week RSI 78

Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NWBI) closed at $13.34 as of 2026-02-02, trading 21.6% above its 200-week moving average of $10.97. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 15.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, NWBI is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1582 weeks of data, NWBI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NWBI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.8%.

With a market cap of $1949 million, NWBI is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.2%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.

Over the past 30.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NWBI would have grown to $1634, compared to $2006 for the S&P 500. NWBI has returned 9.6% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -12.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: NWBI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NWBI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 24 historical episodes, buying NWBI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.9% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +4.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.9% vs +8.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NWBI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

NWBI has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +7.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 1999Feb 199922.6%-8.1%+1000.8%
Apr 1999May 199943.9%-22.3%+1006.7%
Jun 1999Jun 199910.4%-11.1%+941.9%
Jul 1999Dec 20007231.9%-27.4%+927.9%
Dec 2000Jan 200129.6%+29.1%+944.4%
Jan 2001May 20011711.5%+20.6%+895.4%
May 2001Jun 200141.5%+50.8%+829.6%
Jul 2001Jul 200111.6%+31.1%+833.4%
Oct 2001Oct 200110.0%+43.9%+839.1%
Jun 2008Jul 200879.5%-12.4%+230.4%
Nov 2008Sep 20094341.6%-3.2%+229.4%
Sep 2009Oct 200910.7%+15.3%+222.1%
Oct 2009Nov 200946.4%+20.1%+232.2%
Feb 2020Feb 20215139.9%+9.0%+41.1%
Jun 2021Jun 202111.1%-3.9%+33.6%
Jul 2021Sep 2021125.8%+0.7%+32.9%
Apr 2022Apr 202210.1%-5.2%+32.2%
Apr 2022Jun 202285.1%-2.3%+36.0%
Jul 2022Jul 202210.2%-6.7%+33.8%
Mar 2023Jul 20231712.4%+3.9%+35.3%
Aug 2023Nov 20231514.4%+23.9%+37.4%
Mar 2024May 202484.2%+17.1%+36.8%
May 2024Jul 202474.3%+16.5%+34.1%
Mar 2025Apr 202534.0%N/A+27.4%
Average12+7.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02