NVST

Envista Holdings Corporation Healthcare - Medical Instruments & Supplies Investor Relations →

YES
4.8% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was 3.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $24.52
14-Week RSI 45
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.97

Envista Holdings Corporation (NVST) closed at $23.35 as of 2026-09-18, trading 4.8% below its 200-week moving average of $24.52. This places NVST in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 317 weeks of data, NVST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NVST at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +3.0%.

With a market cap of $3.8 billion, NVST is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 3.1%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Over the past 6.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NVST would have grown to $98, compared to $237 for the S&P 500. NVST has returned -0.4% annualized vs 15.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 29.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: NVST vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NVST Crosses Below the Line?

Across 8 historical episodes, buying NVST when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.5% after 12 months (median -15.0%), compared to +26.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -14.2% vs +39.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NVST crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NVST would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +2.53σ
Current FCF Yield 6.62%
Baseline Yield 5.59%
Historical σ 0.34pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where NVST's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$24.01Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$25.35Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$26.84Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$28.53Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$30.44Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-08-05$0.34$0.41+22.1%
2026-05-06$0.31$0.36+15.2%
2026-02-05$0.32$0.38+17.6%
2025-10-29$0.28$0.32+16.0%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from NVST's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.05σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.24σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -5.0pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +1.5pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+14.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

NVST has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +3.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 2020Sep 202020.7%+78.3%-2.4%
Sep 2020Sep 202010.8%+81.2%-2.2%
Sep 2022Nov 202285.1%-15.8%-31.9%
Dec 2022Jan 202355.1%-28.6%-28.9%
May 2023Jul 202398.8%-43.9%-29.3%
Jul 2023Feb 202613253.8%-53.0%-32.7%
Mar 2026Apr 202645.7%N/A-5.1%
May 2026Jun 202668.8%N/A-3.7%
Sep 2026Ongoing1+4.8%OngoingN/A
Average19+3.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NVST below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Envista Holdings Corporation (NVST) is trading 4.8% below its 200-week moving average of $24.52. The current price is $23.35.

What is NVST's 200-week moving average price?

Envista Holdings Corporation's 200-week moving average is $24.52 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when NVST drops below its 200-week moving average?

NVST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +3.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.

Is NVST a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about NVST as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow yield is 7.1%. Return on equity is 3.1%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does NVST compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 6.2 years, $100 invested in NVST would have grown to $98, compared to $237 for the S&P 500. That's -0.4% annualized vs 15.0% for the index. NVST has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18