NVGS

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NO
28.1% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 30.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $14.23
14-Week RSI 74

Navigator Holdings Ltd. (NVGS) closed at $18.23 as of 2026-02-02, trading 28.1% above its 200-week moving average of $14.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 30.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, NVGS is in overbought territory.

Over the past 947 weeks of data, NVGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 57 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NVGS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.2%.

With a market cap of $1222 million, NVGS is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.8%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.1% over the past three years.

Over the past 18.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NVGS would have grown to $50, compared to $663 for the S&P 500. NVGS has returned -3.8% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: NVGS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NVGS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 9 historical episodes, buying NVGS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.6% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +11.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +9.8% vs +21.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NVGS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

NVGS has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +6.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2008Apr 200840.6%-44.6%-47.8%
Mar 2009Apr 201111167.2%+22.9%+57.1%
Nov 2013Oct 201930773.9%+17.1%-6.0%
Feb 2020Dec 20204260.4%+8.8%+104.7%
Jan 2021Feb 202126.0%-9.9%+96.6%
Feb 2021Apr 2021910.6%+2.5%+88.1%
May 2021Jun 202111.0%+41.7%+85.9%
Jul 2021Feb 20223120.3%+10.7%+99.7%
Mar 2025Apr 2025415.6%N/A+68.7%
Average57+6.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02