NVEC
NVE Corporation Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
NVE Corporation (NVEC) closed at $110.46 as of 2026-06-19, trading 64.6% above its 200-week moving average of $67.10. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 75.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 85, NVEC is in overbought territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.7x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1573 weeks of data, NVEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NVEC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.6%.
With a market cap of $534 million, NVEC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.4%. Return on equity stands at 25.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.2x book value.
NVEC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 30.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NVEC would have grown to $270, compared to $1924 for the S&P 500. NVEC has returned 3.3% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NVEC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NVEC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying NVEC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.6% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +4.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.3% vs +21.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NVEC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NVEC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NVEC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $67.45 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $73.19 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $80.01 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $88.21 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $98.30 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NVEC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NVEC has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +18.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1997 | Jun 2003 | 328 | 86.6% | -56.2% | +192.5% |
| Mar 2005 | Aug 2006 | 74 | 41.9% | -14.2% | +1140.0% |
| Jan 2007 | Mar 2007 | 9 | 17.9% | -13.7% | +827.9% |
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 3 | 10.2% | -6.8% | +736.9% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 6 | 20.4% | +3.7% | +763.6% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 4 | 6.6% | +23.6% | +835.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2008 | 9 | 25.1% | +139.1% | +894.8% |
| Jan 2009 | Jan 2009 | 2 | 5.0% | +85.0% | +812.5% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 3 | 2.1% | +7.8% | +344.9% |
| Apr 2013 | Oct 2013 | 24 | 10.2% | +1.3% | +325.0% |
| Apr 2014 | Jun 2014 | 8 | 5.2% | +31.7% | +310.8% |
| Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 2 | 3.7% | +55.5% | +308.6% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 9 | 14.0% | +19.7% | +294.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 13.3% | +49.3% | +292.5% |
| Jun 2019 | Jan 2020 | 32 | 15.8% | -8.8% | +142.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 54 | 37.6% | +2.5% | +131.2% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 5 | 4.7% | -18.3% | +122.8% |
| Dec 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 3.3% | +11.3% | +123.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Oct 2022 | 39 | 27.6% | +32.2% | +136.6% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 5 | 11.7% | +27.3% | +105.3% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 4 | 5.9% | N/A | +84.4% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 2 | 6.0% | N/A | +83.0% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 3 | 4.6% | N/A | +85.6% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 0.0% | N/A | +75.2% |
| Average | 26 | — | +18.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NVEC below its 200-week moving average?
No. NVE Corporation (NVEC) is currently 64.6% above its 200-week moving average of $67.10. It would need to fall to $67.10 to cross below the line.
What is NVEC's 200-week moving average price?
NVE Corporation's 200-week moving average is $67.10 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NVEC drops below its 200-week moving average?
NVEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is NVEC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NVEC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 85 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.4%. Return on equity is 25.2%. Price-to-book is 9.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NVEC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 30.2 years, $100 invested in NVEC would have grown to $270, compared to $1924 for the S&P 500. That's 3.3% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. NVEC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19