NTRS
Northern Trust Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) closed at $164.48 as of 2026-05-01, trading 73.6% above its 200-week moving average of $94.73. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 73.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, NTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTRS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.5%.
With a market cap of $30.5 billion, NTRS is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 14.5%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTRS would have grown to $2993, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.7% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming NTRS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $752,920.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 41.8% compound annual rate, with 1 consecutive year of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NTRS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTRS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying NTRS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.8% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +17.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.4% vs +42.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTRS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NTRS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +23.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1981 | Nov 1981 | 9 | 7.3% | +5.8% | +39624.6% |
| Jul 1982 | Aug 1982 | 8 | 7.6% | +73.3% | +40213.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 0.0% | +101.1% | +8686.3% |
| Sep 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 11.0% | +134.3% | +9709.1% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 8 | 9.3% | +45.6% | +3614.1% |
| Jan 1995 | Apr 1995 | 11 | 8.9% | +57.0% | +3724.9% |
| Apr 1995 | May 1995 | 1 | 0.5% | +55.4% | +3325.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 7 | 13.6% | -14.8% | +533.2% |
| Feb 2002 | Mar 2002 | 2 | 4.4% | -37.5% | +446.4% |
| Apr 2002 | Nov 2004 | 136 | 45.8% | -36.1% | +430.0% |
| Jan 2005 | Apr 2005 | 13 | 5.8% | +13.6% | +513.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2009 | 24 | 34.9% | +9.1% | +351.6% |
| Apr 2009 | Jul 2009 | 14 | 12.2% | +3.5% | +354.6% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2012 | 158 | 36.9% | -17.9% | +329.3% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 3 | 1.5% | +20.7% | +400.2% |
| Nov 2012 | Nov 2012 | 2 | 0.7% | +28.1% | +397.8% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 3.3% | +53.3% | +281.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 2.7% | +38.0% | +157.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 26.5% | +12.2% | +127.1% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 2.3% | -15.7% | +102.3% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 18 | 15.0% | -14.3% | +98.6% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 0.2% | -9.8% | +95.4% |
| Feb 2023 | Sep 2024 | 82 | 29.2% | -9.5% | +95.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 3.3% | +69.6% | +96.1% |
| Average | 23 | — | +23.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTRS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) is currently 73.6% above its 200-week moving average of $94.73. It would need to fall to $94.73 to cross below the line.
What is NTRS's 200-week moving average price?
Northern Trust Corporation's 200-week moving average is $94.73 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NTRS drops below its 200-week moving average?
NTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is NTRS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NTRS as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 67. Return on equity is 14.5%. Price-to-book is 2.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NTRS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in NTRS would have grown to $2993, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 10.7% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. NTRS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NTRS pay a dividend?
Yes. Northern Trust Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 195.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01