NTRS

Northern Trust Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →

NO
65.5% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 63.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $91.93
14-Week RSI 88

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) closed at $152.15 as of 2026-02-02, trading 65.5% above its 200-week moving average of $91.93. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 63.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 88, NTRS is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, NTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTRS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.5%.

With a market cap of $28.8 billion, NTRS is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 13.5%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.7% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTRS would have grown to $2753, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. NTRS has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 6 open-market purchases totaling $763,181.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: NTRS vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NTRS Crosses Below the Line?

Across 20 historical episodes, buying NTRS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.6% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +17.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.4% vs +42.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTRS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Insider Buying Activity

1 conviction buy in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases).

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-11-04MORITZ ROBERT EDWARD JR.Director$500,2663,891+128.0%

Historical Touches

NTRS has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +21.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 1981Nov 198197.3%+5.8%+36441.9%
Jul 1982Aug 198287.6%+73.3%+36983.3%
Aug 1990Aug 199010.0%+101.1%+7982.3%
Sep 1990Oct 1990111.0%+134.3%+8923.2%
Nov 1994Jan 199589.3%+45.6%+3316.5%
Jan 1995Apr 1995118.9%+57.0%+3418.4%
Apr 1995May 199510.5%+55.4%+3051.4%
Sep 2001Nov 2001713.6%-14.8%+482.5%
Feb 2002Mar 200224.4%-37.5%+402.7%
Apr 2002Nov 200413645.8%-36.1%+387.6%
Jan 2005Apr 2005135.8%+13.6%+464.4%
Oct 2008Mar 20092434.9%+9.1%+315.4%
Apr 2009Jul 20091412.2%+3.5%+318.2%
Aug 2009Sep 201215836.9%-17.9%+294.9%
Sep 2012Oct 201231.5%+20.7%+360.1%
Nov 2012Nov 201220.7%+28.1%+357.9%
Feb 2016Feb 201613.3%+53.3%+251.0%
Dec 2018Dec 201812.7%+38.0%+137.2%
Feb 2020Nov 20203726.5%+12.2%+108.9%
Jun 2022Jun 202212.3%-15.7%+86.1%
Aug 2022Jan 20231815.0%-14.3%+82.7%
Jan 2023Jan 202310.2%-9.8%+79.8%
Feb 2023Sep 20248229.2%-9.5%+79.6%
Mar 2025Apr 202533.3%N/A+80.3%
Average23+21.5%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02