NTRA
Natera Inc. Healthcare - Diagnostics Investor Relations →
Natera Inc. (NTRA) closed at $195.28 as of 2026-03-20, trading 84.2% above its 200-week moving average of $106.04. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 78.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 511 weeks of data, NTRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTRA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.1%.
With a market cap of $27.7 billion, NTRA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.5%. Return on equity stands at -14.3%. The stock trades at 15.9x book value.
Share count has increased 25.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTRA would have grown to $1590, compared to $364 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 32.5% vs 14.1% for the index — confirming NTRA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NTRA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTRA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying NTRA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.3% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +149.0% vs +26.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTRA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NTRA has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +28.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 0.2% | -8.8% | +1604.0% |
| Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 14 | 25.6% | -3.5% | +1675.3% |
| Jan 2017 | Aug 2017 | 31 | 32.2% | -4.9% | +1725.0% |
| Oct 2017 | Jan 2018 | 11 | 17.9% | +105.3% | +1694.9% |
| Jan 2018 | Apr 2018 | 11 | 18.9% | +41.7% | +1827.7% |
| Mar 2022 | Jan 2024 | 99 | 41.4% | +38.9% | +401.0% |
| Average | 28 | — | +28.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTRA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Natera Inc. (NTRA) is currently 84.2% above its 200-week moving average of $106.04. It would need to fall to $106.04 to cross below the line.
What is NTRA's 200-week moving average price?
Natera Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $106.04 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NTRA drops below its 200-week moving average?
NTRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is NTRA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NTRA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 0.5%. Return on equity is -14.3%. Price-to-book is 15.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NTRA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9.8 years, $100 invested in NTRA would have grown to $1590, compared to $364 for the S&P 500. That's 32.5% annualized vs 14.1% for the index. NTRA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20