NTRA
Natera Inc. Healthcare - Diagnostics Investor Relations →
Natera Inc. (NTRA) closed at $203.04 as of 2026-02-02, trading 100.8% above its 200-week moving average of $101.10. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 130.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 505 weeks of data, NTRA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTRA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.1%.
With a market cap of $28.3 billion, NTRA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.6%. Return on equity stands at -29.0%. The stock trades at 22.3x book value.
Share count has increased 39.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTRA would have grown to $1653, compared to $387 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 33.3% vs 14.9% for the index — confirming NTRA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: NTRA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTRA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying NTRA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.3% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +149.0% vs +26.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTRA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NTRA has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +28.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 0.2% | -8.8% | +1671.7% |
| Aug 2016 | Nov 2016 | 14 | 25.6% | -3.5% | +1745.8% |
| Jan 2017 | Aug 2017 | 31 | 32.2% | -4.9% | +1797.6% |
| Oct 2017 | Jan 2018 | 11 | 17.9% | +105.3% | +1766.2% |
| Jan 2018 | Apr 2018 | 11 | 18.9% | +41.7% | +1904.3% |
| Mar 2022 | Jan 2024 | 99 | 41.4% | +38.9% | +420.9% |
| Average | 28 | — | +28.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02