NTR
Nutrien Basic Materials Investor Relations →
Nutrien (NTR) closed at $67.62 as of 2026-06-12, trading 16.6% above its 200-week moving average of $58.02. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 15.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.15 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 392 weeks of data, NTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -17.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $32.5 billion, NTR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%. Return on equity stands at 9.8%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 7.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTR would have grown to $183, compared to $333 for the S&P 500. NTR has returned 8.3% annualized vs 17.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -29.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NTR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying NTR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -13.4% after 12 months (median -17.0%), compared to +19.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.6% vs +54.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NTR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NTR has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +-17.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 12.9% | +4.9% | +85.0% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 1.1% | -43.1% | +70.7% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 5.2% | -33.1% | +72.9% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 1 | 1.2% | -33.3% | +69.7% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 3 | 5.0% | -19.1% | +70.2% |
| Sep 2019 | Nov 2020 | 60 | 42.9% | -15.8% | +71.4% |
| May 2023 | Jul 2023 | 6 | 7.1% | +9.3% | +33.5% |
| Oct 2023 | Jun 2025 | 88 | 28.5% | -11.6% | +24.9% |
| Jun 2025 | Dec 2025 | 23 | 9.3% | N/A | +18.3% |
| Average | 21 | — | +-17.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Nutrien (NTR) is currently 16.6% above its 200-week moving average of $58.02. It would need to fall to $58.02 to cross below the line.
What is NTR's 200-week moving average price?
Nutrien's 200-week moving average is $58.02 as of 2026-06-12. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NTR drops below its 200-week moving average?
NTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -17.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is NTR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NTR as of 2026-06-12: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 5.0%. Return on equity is 9.8%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NTR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.6 years, $100 invested in NTR would have grown to $183, compared to $333 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 17.2% for the index. NTR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NTR pay a dividend?
Yes. Nutrien currently pays a dividend yield of 325.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-12