NTNX
Nutanix, Inc. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX) closed at $40.26 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.8% below its 200-week moving average of $47.24. This places NTNX in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -16.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 19, NTNX is in oversold territory.
Over the past 440 weeks of data, NTNX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTNX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.5%.
With a market cap of $10.9 billion, NTNX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. The stock trades at -16.3x book value.
Share count has increased 18.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTNX would have grown to $180, compared to $315 for the S&P 500. NTNX has returned 7.1% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 243.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: NTNX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTNX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying NTNX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.1% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +12.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.1% vs +28.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTNX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NTNX has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +20.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2017 | Oct 2017 | 5 | 10.9% | +136.2% | +85.3% |
| Feb 2019 | Mar 2019 | 2 | 6.3% | -29.3% | +19.5% |
| May 2019 | Nov 2019 | 27 | 48.3% | -30.0% | +14.6% |
| Dec 2019 | Jan 2020 | 4 | 8.3% | -5.0% | +22.9% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 1 | 5.9% | -6.0% | +24.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 42 | 57.8% | +27.0% | +68.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 5 | 6.8% | N/A | +26.3% |
| Feb 2021 | Jun 2021 | 15 | 21.1% | -12.5% | +32.9% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 0.6% | -57.5% | +18.6% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 0.9% | -46.9% | +18.0% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 1.2% | -21.9% | +17.3% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2022 | 52 | 53.8% | -16.7% | +17.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 5 | 8.1% | +83.9% | +56.7% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 11 | 11.6% | +166.8% | +63.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 1 | 0.1% | +120.1% | +47.5% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 4+ | 16.6% | Ongoing | -12.0% |
| Average | 11 | — | +20.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02